最后18不会把19-23都熬死了自己还在吧

恍然大悟

三小时前，北侧还需巩固
不知道是不是风切的原因

同时，底层的北弱南强也导致形态波动不断

TPPS12 PGTW 281149
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 28/1130Z
C. 20.38S
D. 155.78E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. T6.0/6.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. OW EYE SURROUNDED BY LG YIELDS
AN E# OF 5.0. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, TO YIELD A DT OF 5.5.
MET AND PT YIELD 6.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RAE

TXPS22 KNES 281154
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 28/1130Z
C. 20.4S
D. 155.7E
E. ONE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T5.5/6.0
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...WMG EYE IS SURROUNDED BY B AND EMBEDDED IN LG RESULTING
IN A DT OF 5.5 AFTER ADDING 0.5 FOR THE EYE ADJUSTMENT. MET AND PT ARE
ALSO 5.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...TURK

18P ALFRED 250228 1200 20.4S 155.7E SHEM 105 952

IDQ20065
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 10:41 pm EST on Friday 28 February 2025
At 10 pm AEST Friday, Severe Tropical Cyclone Alfred (Category 4) with central
pressure 951 hPa was located over the Coral Sea near latitude 20.5 south
longitude 155.7 east, which is about 680 km east of Mackay and 620 km east
northeast of Rockhampton.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Alfred has been fluctuating in intensity over the past
24 hours and is currently a category 4 cyclone. It is expected begin slowly
weakening from Saturday night.
Alfred is forecast to continue moving to the south through the Coral Sea during
the rest of the night. During Saturday it is likely to move a little to the
south southwest closer to the Queensland coast before tracking southeast and
further away from the coast during Sunday.
There is good confidence that Alfred will stay offshore well into next week.
However, from the middle of next week Alfred is likely to be slow moving with
some ongoing uncertainty as to how close to the southern Queensland coast it
may come in the longer term.
Regardless of the track Alfred takes, severe coastal hazards are likely for
southern Queensland and northeast New South Wales. A large and powerful to
potentially damaging easterly swell as well as abnormally high tides are
developing about exposed central Queensland beaches, extending to southern
Queensland from Saturday, and possibly to northern New South Wales from Sunday
or Monday. Refer to marine warnings and forecasts for further information on
these hazards.
The next Information Bulletin will be issued by 5:00 am AEST Saturday 01 March.

b断

这玩意给105属实是有点

ACE: 15.3675

105没啥问题

OW时隐时现