TXPS22 KNES 280044
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 27/2330Z
C. 19.2S
D. 155.5E
E. ONE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T6.0/6.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...OW EYE SURROUNDED BY B RING AND EMBEDDED IN B YIELDS A DT
OF 6.0 AFTER ADDING 0.5 FOR EYE ADJUSTMENT. THE 6HR AVG DT IS 5.8. THE
MET IS 5.5. THE PT IS 6.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE 6 HOUR AVERAGE DT
WHICH JUSTIFIES BREAKING CONTRAINTS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...GATLING

IDQ20065
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 10:50 am EST on Friday 28 February 2025
At 10 am AEST Friday, Severe Tropical Cyclone Alfred (Category 3) with central
pressure 958 hPa was located over the Coral Sea near latitude 19.0 south
longitude 155.7 east, which is about 720 km east northeast of Mackay and 730 km
northeast of Rockhampton.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Alfred is forecast to continue moving to the south
through the Coral Sea today. On Saturday it may take a turn to the south
southwest towards the Queensland coast before tracking southeast away from the
coast during Sunday.
There is increasing confidence that Alfred will stay offshore. However, Alfred
is likely to be slow moving next week with some ongoing uncertainty as to how
close to the southern Queensland coast it may come.
Regardless of the track Alfred takes, severe coastal hazards are likely for
southern Queensland and northeast New South Wales. A large and powerful to
potentially damaging easterly swell as well as abnormally high tides are
forecast to develop about exposed central Queensland beaches today, extending
to southern Queensland from Saturday, and possibly to northern New South Wales
from Sunday or Monday. Refer to marine warnings and forecasts for further
information on these hazards.
The next Information Bulletin will be issued by 5:00 pm AEST Friday 28 February.

18P ALFRED 250228 0000 19.1S 155.5E SHEM 105 950

FY-4B
眼屎还有点多

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：渠鸿宇 签发：向纯怡 2025 年 02 月 28 日 10 时
“艾弗雷德”向偏北方向移动
时 间：28日08时（北京时）
海 域：澳大利亚附近海域
命 名：“艾弗雷德”，ALFRED
中心位置：南纬19.0度、东经155.7度
强度等级：三级强热带气旋
最大风力：14级（43米/秒，相当于我国的强台风级）
中心气压：958百帕
参考位置：澳大利亚昆士兰州麦凯东偏北方向约720公里的洋面上
变化过程：过去24小时，“艾弗雷德”由15级减弱到14级
预报结论：“艾弗雷德” 将以每小时5-10公里的速度向偏南方向缓慢移动，强度逐渐减弱。

图1 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年02月28日08时00分）

WMG准备

WMG但W断

TPPS12 PGTW 280340
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 28/0310Z
C. 19.68S
D. 155.83E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. T6.0/6.0/D0.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY B
YIELDS AN E# OF 5.5. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR B, TO YIELD A DT
OF 6.5. MET AND PT YIELD 6.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
NEVAREZ

多卷绕几波

WMG