ACE: 18.9375

Details of Tropical Cyclone Alfred 22U at 10:00 am AEST:
Intensity: category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 20 kilometres of 23.3 degrees South, 155.5 degrees East , 515 kilometres east of Rockhampton and 370 kilometres east northeast of Bundaberg .
Movement: south at 10 kilometres per hour .
Tropical Cyclone Alfred has been moving southwards while weakening during yesterday and overnight. Tonight it is forecast to turn southeast and move further away from the Queensland coast while weakening a little further. Alfred is then expected to slow down and is likely to turn westward from Tuesday, moving back towards the southern Queensland coast.

18P ALFRED 250302 0000 23.4S 155.5E SHEM 55 984

还能苟几天

TPPS12 PGTW 020245
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 02/0230Z
C. 23.57S
D. 155.74E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. T2.5/3.0/W2.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
WITH COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF 2.5. MET
YIELDS 3.0. PT AGREES WITH DT. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
01/2141Z 23.00S 155.45E GPMI
01/2236Z 22.90S 155.65E MMHS
PETERSEN

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：曹迈 签发：张 玲 2025 年 03 月 02 日 10 时
“艾弗雷德”向偏北方向移动
时 间：2日08时（北京时）
海 域：澳大利亚附近海域
命 名：“艾弗雷德”，ALFRED
中心位置：南纬23.4度、东经155.5度
强度等级：二级热带气旋
最大风力：10级（25米/秒，相当于我国的强热带风暴级）
中心气压：983百帕
参考位置：澳大利亚昆士兰州布里斯班北偏东方向约520公里的洋面上
变化过程：过去24小时，“艾弗雷德”由16级减弱到10级
预报结论：“艾弗雷德”将以每小时10公里左右的速度向东南方向移动，强度逐渐减弱。

图1 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年03月02日08时00分）

TPPS12 PGTW 020548
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 02/0530Z
C. 23.83S
D. 155.76E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. T2.5/3.0/W1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
WITH COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF 2.5. MET
YIELDS 3.0. PT AGREES WITH DT. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
01/2353Z 23.18S 155.52E CWVR
PETERSEN

TXPS22 KNES 020554
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 02/0530Z
C. 23.8S
D. 155.8E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T2.0/2.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES LOCATED LESS THAN 75NM FROM A
LARGE COLD OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 2.0. THE MET IS 2.5 BASED ON A RAPID
WEAKENING TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS 2.0. THE FT IS BASED ON
THE PT SINCE THE CONVECTION WAS PULSING AND A PATTERN ADJUSTMENT WAS MADE.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...COVERDALE

18P ALFRED 250302 0600 24.0S 155.8E SHEM 50 989

Details of Tropical Cyclone Alfred 22U at 4:00 pm AEST:
Intensity: category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 85 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 20 kilometres of 23.9 degrees South, 155.8 degrees East , 545 kilometres east of Rockhampton and 370 kilometres east northeast of Bundaberg .
Movement: south southeast at 12 kilometres per hour .
Tropical Cyclone Alfred has been moving southwards while weakening yesterday and today. Tonight it is forecast to turn southeast and move further away from the Queensland coast while weakening a little further. Alfred is then expected to slow down and is likely to turn westward from Tuesday, moving towards the southern Queensland coast.

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：曹迈 签发：张 玲 2025 年 03 月 02 日 18 时
“艾弗雷德”向偏北方向移动
时 间：2日14时（北京时）
海 域：澳大利亚附近海域
命 名：“艾弗雷德”，ALFRED
中心位置：南纬23.9度、东经155.8度
强度等级：一级热带气旋
最大风力：9级（23米/秒，相当于我国的热带风暴级）
中心气压：984百帕
参考位置：澳大利亚昆士兰州布里斯班东北方向约485公里的洋面上
变化过程：过去24小时，“艾弗雷德”由12级减弱到9级
预报结论：“艾弗雷德”将以每小时10公里左右的速度向东南方向移动，强度逐渐减弱。

图3 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年03月02日14时00分）