TXPS22 KNES 251824
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 25/1730Z
C. 14.6S
D. 155.0E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T3.5/4.0
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/PRXY/AMSR2
H. REMARKS...7/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.0. PT IS 3.5. MET IS
ALSO 3.5 BASED ON A 24 HOUR SLOW WEAKENING TREND. THE FT IS BASED ON
THE MET BECAUSE BANDING FEATURES ARE NOT CLEAR CUT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
25/1504Z 14.4S 155.0E AMSR2
...TURK

TPPS12 PGTW 252141
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 25/2030Z
C. 14.79S
D. 154.78E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T4.5/4.5/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 71A/PBO XTRP/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS 1.40 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 4.5. MET YIELDS 5.0. PT YIELDS 4.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
TIMMERMAN

略有改善

TXPS22 KNES 260024
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 25/2330Z
C. 14.8S
D. 154.8E
E. ONE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T4.5/4.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...CLOUD-FILLED LG EYE SURROUNDED BY B AND EMBEDDED IN LG
RESULTS IN AN E# OF 5.0 WITH -0.5 EADJ FOR A DT OF 4.5. TIMELY 2255Z
GMI PASS SHOWED INTENSE EYEWALL RING N AND W QUADS. CONVECTIVE CLOUD
TOPS AS COLD AS -91 C. UPR-LVL OUTFLOW GRDLY IMPROVING ALQDS. MET=5.0
AND PT=4.5. FT BASED DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...KONON

TPPS12 PGTW 260044
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 25/2330Z
C. 14.47S
D. 154.98E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. T4.5/4.5/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 15A/PBO TIGHTLY CURVED BNDG/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS 1.20 ON
LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 4.0. MET YIELDS 5.0. PT YIELDS 4.5.
DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
25/1941Z 14.60S 155.02E SSMS
TIMMERMAN

IDQ20065
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 10:41 am EST on Wednesday 26 February 2025
At 10 am AEST Wednesday, Tropical Cyclone Alfred (Category 2) with central
pressure 982 hPa was located over the Coral Sea near latitude 14.9 south
longitude 155.0 east, which is about 930 km northeast of Mackay and 1000 km
east northeast of Townsville.
Alfred is slowly moving south though the Coral Sea and is forecast to continue
to move in a general southwards direction during today and on Thursday. There
is high confidence that Alfred will remain well off the Queensland coast until
late in the week.
From the weekend the track becomes highly uncertain and there is the risk that
Alfred may move closer to the central or southern Queensland coast.
The next Information Bulletin will be issued by 5:00 pm AEST Wednesday 26
February.

18P ALFRED 250226 0000 14.8S 155.0E SHEM 75 975

有种背背佳味不管怎么说发展慢慢步入正轨了

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：吕心艳 签发：董林 2025 年 02 月 26 日 10 时
“艾弗雷德”向偏南方向移动
时 间：26日08时（北京时）
海 域：澳大利亚附近海域
命 名：“艾弗雷德”，ALFRED
中心位置：南纬14.8度、东经155.0度
强度等级：二级热带气旋
最大风力：10级（28米/秒，相当于我国的强热带风暴级）
中心气压：982百帕
参考位置：澳大利亚昆士兰州麦凯东北方向约930公里的洋面上
变化过程：过去24小时，“艾弗雷德”变化不大
预报结论：“艾弗雷德”将以每小时10-15公里的速度向偏南方向移动，强度逐渐增强。

图4 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年02月26日08时00分）

TPPS12 PGTW 260243
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 26/0230Z
C. 15.11S
D. 155.29E
E. ONE/GK2A
F. T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 03A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. B EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN E#
OF 6.0. SUBTRACTED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W TO YIELD A DT OF 5.0.
MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
25/2252Z 14.55S 155.00E GPMI
25/2304Z 14.80S 154.95E MMHS
PETERSEN