这应该是第三次尝试开眼了吧，不知道后面还有几次

CHP6：孩子们，还有时间

TPPS12 PGTW 260542
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 26/0530Z
C. 15.04S
D. 155.27E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. IRREGULAR CDO OF 133NM IN DIAMETER
YIELDS A CF OF 3.0. ADDED 2.0 FOR BF TO YIELD A DT OF 5.0. MET
YIELDS A 4.5. PT AGREES WITH MET. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
26/0125Z 14.78S 155.23E CWVR
26/0127Z 14.65S 155.32E TMPT
PETERSEN

3h前的底层感觉双

IDQ20065
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 4:41 pm EST on Wednesday 26 February 2025
At 4 pm AEST Wednesday, Tropical Cyclone Alfred (Category 2) with central
pressure 982 hPa was located over the Coral Sea near latitude 15.2 south
longitude 155.1 east, which is about 910 km northeast of Mackay and 1030 km
north northeast of Rockhampton.
Alfred is slowly moving south though the Coral Sea and is forecast to continue
to move in a general southwards direction during the rest of Wednesday and on
Thursday while slowly strengthening. There is high confidence that Alfred will
remain well off the Queensland coast until late in the week.
From the weekend the track becomes highly uncertain and there is the risk that
Alfred may move closer to the central or southern Queensland coast.
The next Information Bulletin will be issued by 11:00 pm AEST Wednesday 26
February.

TXPS22 KNES 260641
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 26/0530Z
C. 15.3S
D. 155.1E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T5.0/5.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS/AMSR2
H. REMARKS...A LLCC EMBEDDED WITHIN B RESULTS IN A DT OF 5.0. THE MET
IS 5.0 BASED ON A REGULARLY DEVELOPING TREND IN APPARENT INTENSITY OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS ALSO 5.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET DUE TO
UNCERTAINTY IN PRECISE CENTER LOCATION. OF NOTE IS THE SYSTEMS ATTEMPT
TO DEVELOP AN EYE IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03Z. SINCE THEN
CONVECTIVE ANVILS HAVE OBSCURED THE EYE-LIKE FEATURE PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
26/0318Z 15.0S 155.2E AMSR2
...HOSLEY

18P ALFRED 250226 0600 15.3S 155.3E SHEM 85 970

薯条

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：柳龙生 签发：向纯怡 2025 年 02 月 26 日 18 时
“艾弗雷德”向偏南方向移动
时 间：26日14时（北京时）
海 域：澳大利亚附近海域
命 名：“艾弗雷德”，ALFRED
中心位置：南纬15.2度、东经155.1度
强度等级：二级热带气旋
最大风力：11级（30米/秒，相当于我国的强热带风暴级）
中心气压：982百帕
参考位置：澳大利亚昆士兰州麦凯东北方向约910公里的洋面上
变化过程：过去24小时，“艾弗雷德”由13级减弱到11级
预报结论：“艾弗雷德” 将以每小时5-10公里的速度向偏南方向移动，强度逐渐增强。

图3 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年02月26日14时00分）

TPPS12 PGTW 260834
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 26/0830Z
C. 15.50S
D. 155.15E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED IN LG YIELDS A CF OF
4.5. ADDED 1.0 FOR BF TO YIELD A DT OF 5.5. MET YIELDS A 5.0. PT
YIELDS A 4.5. DBO MET.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
26/0315Z 15.05S 155.33E AMS2
26/0315Z 14.98S 155.18E ATMS
26/0531Z 15.25S 155.20E SSMS
PETERSEN