这座核心对流塔在0730z仅冒出几个像素。

除非趁风切不注意

第四次开眼尝试开始了风切和强雨带正在进行干扰

迎着风切的右半圈开始甩针状云了

TPPS12 PGTW 261234
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 26/1130Z
C. 15.93S
D. 155.15E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED IN W YIELDS A DT OF
5.0. BOTH MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
LINDGREN

IDQ20065
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 10:44 pm EST on Wednesday 26 February 2025
At 10 pm AEST Wednesday, Severe Tropical Cyclone Alfred (Category 3) with
central pressure 978 hPa was located over the Coral Sea near latitude 15.7
south longitude 155.2 east, which is about 870 km northeast of Mackay and 990
km north northeast of Rockhampton.
Alfred is slowly moving south though the Coral Sea and is forecast to continue
to move in a general southwards direction while slowly strengthening. There is
high confidence that Alfred will remain well off the Queensland coast into the
weekend.
There is high uncertainty in regards to Alfreds movement beyond Saturday, with
possible risk that Alfred may move closer to the central or southern Queensland
coast by Sunday.
The next Information Bulletin will be issued by 5:00 am AEST Thursday 27
February.

TXPS22 KNES 261241
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 26/1130Z
C. 15.6S
D. 155.2E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T5.0/5.0
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/SSMIS
H. REMARKS...CENTER IS EMBEDDED IN W RESULTING IN A DT OF 5.0. THE PT
AGREES WHILE THE MET IS 4.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE PT DUE TO UNCERTAINTY
IN THE CENTER LOCATION.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
26/0819Z 15.3S 155.2E SSMIS
...TURK

18P ALFRED 250226 1200 15.5S 155.4E SHEM 85 969

SH, 18, 2025022600, , BEST, 0, 149S, 1550E, 80, 975, TY, 34, NEQ, 70, 50, 55, 50, 1006, 300, 10, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, ALFRED, ,
SH, 18, 2025022600, , BEST, 0, 149S, 1550E, 80, 975, TY, 50, NEQ, 35, 30, 30, 25, 1006, 300, 10, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, ALFRED, ,
SH, 18, 2025022600, , BEST, 0, 149S, 1550E, 80, 975, TY, 64, NEQ, 0, 10, 10, 0, 1006, 300, 10, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, ALFRED, ,
SH, 18, 2025022606, , BEST, 0, 152S, 1552E, 80, 970, TY, 34, NEQ, 110, 145, 145, 90, 1008, 320, 10, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, ALFRED, D,
SH, 18, 2025022606, , BEST, 0, 152S, 1552E, 80, 970, TY, 50, NEQ, 55, 80, 80, 45, 1008, 320, 10, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, ALFRED, D,
SH, 18, 2025022606, , BEST, 0, 152S, 1552E, 80, 970, TY, 64, NEQ, 30, 40, 40, 20, 1008, 320, 10, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, ALFRED, D,
SH, 18, 2025022612, , BEST, 0, 155S, 1554E, 85, 969, TY, 34, NEQ, 130, 190, 190, 95, 1008, 330, 15, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, ALFRED, D,
SH, 18, 2025022612, , BEST, 0, 155S, 1554E, 85, 969, TY, 50, NEQ, 45, 60, 60, 45, 1008, 330, 15, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, ALFRED, D,
SH, 18, 2025022612, , BEST, 0, 155S, 1554E, 85, 969, TY, 64, NEQ, 30, 40, 40, 20, 1008, 330, 15, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, ALFRED, D,