TPXS13 PGTW 092125
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
B. 09/2030Z
C. 15.16S
D. 93.20E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.5/2.5/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .5 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
SWANSON

TXXS27 KNES 100023
TCSSIO
A. 14S (TALIAH)
B. 09/2330Z
C. 14.7S
D. 93.0E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T2.5/3.5
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/PRXY
H. REMARKS...5/10 BANDING YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. THE MET IS 3.0 BASED ON
A 24HR STEADY TREND. THE PT IS 3.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...GATLING

TPXS13 PGTW 100027
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
B. 09/2330Z
C. 15.31S
D. 93.16E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .75 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. MET YIELDS 3.5. PT YIELDS 3.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
SWANSON

雨带还是大

IDW24020
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 8:52 am WST on Monday 10 February 2025
Tropical Cyclone Taliah was located at 7:00 am CXT near 14.7S 93.0E, that is
500 km southwest of Cocos (Keeling) Islands and and moving west northwest at 6
kilometres per hour.
Tropical Cyclone Taliah has intensified to tropical cyclone intensity this
morning and continues to track generally west. Taliah is forecast to take a
turn to the southwest on Tuesday. Taliah is expected to intensify to Category 2
on Tuesday, then reach Category 3 on Wednesday.
No direct impacts are expected at the Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
The next Information Bulletin will be issued at 3:00 pm AWST Monday 10 February.

14S TALIAH 250210 0000 14.8S 93.1E SHEM 45 996

看着有模有样的了

底层很有东西了呀

预报原地打转
这个位置的OHC真够龟爬24H吗
处于寒流位置，南下后不久海温就跌破27了

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：柳龙生 签发：董林 2025 年 02 月 10 日 10 时
“塔利亚”将向西北转西南方向移动
时 间：10日08时（北京时）
海 域：澳大利亚附近海域
命 名：“塔利亚”，TALIAH
中心位置：南纬14.7度、东经93度
强度等级：一级热带气旋
最大风力：8级（18米/秒，相当于我国的热带风暴级）
中心气压：995百帕
参考位置：澳大利亚科科斯群岛西南方向约515公里的洋面上
变化过程： 过去24小时，“塔利亚”强度不变
预报结论：“塔利亚” 将以每小时5-10公里左右的速度向西北转西南方向移动，强度还将有所加强。

图1 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年02月10日08时00分）

说句不太好听的话，我跑去windy翻了翻EC对后续的预报，似乎和雨带是一直扯不明白关系的。
抽取了四张预报图，都能看到明显的大雨带（甚至双眼），所以还是应该注意一下雨带的干扰。

TPXS13 PGTW 100343
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
B. 10/0230Z
C. 15.00S
D. 93.10E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.5/3.0/D0.5/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .5 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 3.0. PT YIELDS 2.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
NEVAREZ

云卷眼

对流强劲