绿色OHC滞留12H，会赢吗

雨带比较发达，希望不要成为南印版Enrique
另外还是说一下625楼吧，从预报图的形态上来看，Taliah可能和我上文所述的那个TC类似，不过Taliah之所以会变成图中那样，还有一个比较重要的因素就是龟爬，因为就目前来看Taliah应该不是Enrique那种货，这种类似置置的形态更像是因为置换的时候冷水上翻导致的
这种类似于蒲公英一巅巅峰后的形态跟Taliah那种雨带通过汲取核心能量逐渐变得过于发达导致核心对流被抑制和大雨带干扰风眼这两种情况完全不相同，因此雨带不能背这个锅，描述成“雨带干扰核心”显然是完全错误的。

TPXS13 PGTW 101149
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
B. 10/1130Z
C. 14.39S
D. 92.84E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .7 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. MET YIELDS 3.5. PT YIELDS 3.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RAE

TXXS27 KNES 101206
TCSSIO
A. 14S (TALIAH)
B. 10/1130Z
C. 14.1S
D. 93.0E
E. THREE/MET-9
F. T3.5/3.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...8/10 BANDING ON A LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDS A DT OF 3.5. MET
IS 3.5 DUE TO A SLOW DEVELOPING TREND OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. PT AGREES
WITH DT AND MET. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...NGUYEN

希望能快点，卷眼和移速都是，虽然没什么引导气流

入夜

IDW24020
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 8:26 pm WST on Monday 10 February 2025
Tropical Cyclone Taliah was located at 8:00 pm AWST (6:30 pm CCT) near 14.4S
92.4E, that is 540 km west southwest of Cocos (Keeling) Islands and and slow
moving.
Tropical Cyclone Taliah, Category 1, has been slow moving but is now starting
to move to the southwest. Taliah is forecast to continue moving southwest and
intensify further, reaching Category 2 on Tuesday and Category 3 on Wednesday.
No direct impacts are expected at the Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
The next Information Bulletin will be issued at 3:00 am AWST Tuesday 11
February.

14S TALIAH 250210 1200 14.3S 92.8E SHEM 45 992

卷绕还是很剧烈的

08z

TPXS13 PGTW 101506
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
B. 10/1430Z
C. 14.56S
D. 92.13E
E. SIX/GK2A
F. T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .7 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. MET AND PT YIELD 3.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
RAE

yysy，现在这样还不如盼着多来点雨带卷个眼，至少混个c1c2

我，太虚了，冷水问题越来越明显。