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回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风SH142025

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无人关心之时,在中心附近爆了一块CDG(非恶性对流)



IP属地:广东来自Android客户端407楼2025-02-06 16:46
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    反演上风切无太大变化,但中心附近开始出现良性对流。南边的两块低风切区域正在相连



    IP属地:北京来自Android客户端408楼2025-02-06 17:02
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      nbcs



      IP属地:广东来自Android客户端409楼2025-02-06 17:05
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        ts报全部改c1,欢迎收看ma-on式的裸奔c1


        IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端410楼2025-02-06 17:15
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          强度能超过13s吗?


          IP属地:辽宁来自Android客户端411楼2025-02-06 17:28
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            TPXS13 PGTW 060924
            A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
            B. 06/0900Z
            C. 14.79S
            D. 103.85E
            E. FIVE/GK2A
            F. T3.5/3.5/S0.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
            G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
            H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED 35NM IN
            SHEARED DENSE OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 3.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO
            DT.
            I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
            NEVAREZ


            IP属地:福建412楼2025-02-06 17:28
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              FY-4B
              北侧针状云展开ing,流出不错



              IP属地:湖南413楼2025-02-06 17:32
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                ACE: 8.8375


                IP属地:广东来自Android客户端414楼2025-02-06 18:20
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                  IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端415楼2025-02-06 18:56
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                    相隔三个小时的两帧图像对比
                    南侧风切发生巨大变化,产生了一条低风切地带



                    IP属地:北京来自Android客户端416楼2025-02-06 19:24
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                      TPXS13 PGTW 061149
                      A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
                      B. 06/1130Z
                      C. 14.29S
                      D. 102.71E
                      E. FIVE/GK2A
                      F. T3.5/3.5/W0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
                      G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                      H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED 60NM IN
                      SHEARED DENSE OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 3.5. MET YIELDS 4.0. PT YIELDS
                      3.5. DBO DT.
                      I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                      06/0636Z 15.08S 104.83E ATMS
                      06/0659Z 15.12S 103.47E AMS2
                      RAE


                      IP属地:福建417楼2025-02-06 20:10
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                        IP属地:福建418楼2025-02-06 20:24
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                          IDW24000
                          Australian Bureau of Meteorology
                          Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
                          TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
                          Issued at 8:48 pm WST on Thursday 6 February 2025
                          Tropical Cyclone Taliah (Category 2) was located at 8:00 pm AWST near 14.9S
                          102.6E, that is 600 km southwest of Christmas Island and 690 km east southeast
                          of Cocos (Keeling) Islands and moving west at 22 kilometres per hour.
                          Tropical Cyclone Taliah, Category 2, lies well to the southwest of Christmas
                          Island, and is tracking westward. The system has passed to the south of
                          Christmas Island and there is high confidence it will continue westwards to
                          pass south of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands later on Friday.
                          No direct impacts are expected at either Christmas Island or the Cocos
                          (Keeling) Islands.
                          The next Information Bulletin will be issued at 3:00 am AWST Friday 07 February.


                          IP属地:福建419楼2025-02-06 20:53
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                            总体来说中心对流覆盖程度是稳住了,至少能避免hector化


                            IP属地:上海420楼2025-02-06 20:56
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                              14S TALIAH 250206 1200 14.9S 102.8E SHEM 65 981


                              IP属地:广东421楼2025-02-06 21:00
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