TPXS13 PGTW 070001
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
B. 06/2340Z
C. 14.40S
D. 100.40E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T3.5/3.5/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED 40NM IN
SHEARED DENSE OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 3.5. MET YIELDS 3.0. PT
YIELDS 3.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
HUYNH

14S TALIAH 250207 0000 14.3S 100.3E SHEM 60 984

IDW24000
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 8:46 am WST on Friday 7 February 2025
Tropical Cyclone Taliah (Category 2) was located at 8:00 am AWST near 15.2S
100.2E, that is 495 km southeast of Cocos (Keeling) Islands and 800 km
southwest of Christmas Island and moving west southwest at 23 kilometres per
hour.
Tropical Cyclone Taliah, Category 2, lies well to the southeast of the Cocos
(Keeling) Islands, and is tracking westward. There is high confidence that
Taliah will continue westwards to pass south of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands
later on Friday or early Saturday.
No direct impacts are expected at the Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
The next Information Bulletin will be issued at 3:00 pm AWST Friday 07 February.

TXXS27 KNES 070039
TCSSIO
A. 14S (TALIAH)
B. 06/2330Z
C. 14.7S
D. 100.7E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T3.5/4.0
G. IR/EIR/PRXY/VIS
H. REMARKS...A LLCC LOCATED OVER 1/3 DEGREE WITHIN A LARGE COLD OVERCAST
RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.5. THE MET IS 3.5 BASED ON A SLOWLY DEVELOPING TREND
IN APPARENT INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS ALSO 3.5. THE
FT IS BASED ON THE MET DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN PRECISE CENTER LOCATION.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...HOSLEY

那几报C1又被砍回去了

雨带依旧臃肿，不过比前几天稍好一点

同时注意到机构报出93E左右龟爬，有点担心下垫面

ec这几报都调成洋中南下的无趣路径了

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：赵渊明 签发：许映龙 2025 年 02 月 07 日 10 时
“塔利亚”继续向偏西方向移动
时 间：7日08时（北京时）
海 域：澳大利亚附近海域
命 名：“塔利亚”，TALIAH
中心位置：南纬15.2度、东经100.2度
强度等级：二级热带气旋
最大风力：10级（25米/秒，相当于我国的强热带风暴级）
中心气压：989百帕
参考位置：澳大利亚西澳大利亚州埃克斯茅斯西北方向约1650公里的洋面上
变化过程： 过去24小时，“塔利亚”强度变化不大
预报结论：“塔利亚” 将以每小时20公里左右的速度继续向偏西方向移动，强度变化不大。

图1 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年02月07日08时00分）

FY-4B
状态还是很差

TPXS13 PGTW 070323
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
B. 07/0250Z
C. 15.80S
D. 100.70E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T3.5/3.5/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED 38NM IN
SHEARED DENSE OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 3.5. MET YIELDS 3.0. PT
YIELDS 3.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
NEVAREZ

两团对流

话说隔壁那个似了之后这个能回复状态吗追完一个紧接着追另一个才是王道（不过下周开学）