虽然被文斯和泽丽娅抢去了风头，但塔利亚也在慢慢变好

14S TALIAH 250212 1200 18.9S 90.2E SHEM 65 983

FKIO20 FMEE 121226
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20250212/1226Z
TCAC: REUNION
TC: TALIAH
ADVISORY NR: 2025/01
OBS PSN: 12/1200Z S1859 E09029
CB: WI 480NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL540
MOV: SSW 14KT
INTST CHANGE: INTSF
C: 970HPA
MAX WIND: 65KT
FCST PSN +6 HR: 12/1800Z S2000 E08942
FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 65KT
FCST PSN +12 HR: 13/0000Z S2103 E08847
FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 65KT
FCST PSN +18 HR: 13/0600Z S2155 E08744
FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 65KT
FCST PSN +24 HR: 13/1200Z S2236 E08644
FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 60KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20250212/1800Z=

继续卷绕

TPXS13 PGTW 121509
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
B. 12/1450Z
C. 19.50S
D. 89.65E
E. FOUR/GK2A
F. T4.5/4.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 13A/PBO TIGHTLY CURVED BNDG/ANMTN. OW EYE SURROUNDED BY
MG YIELDS AN E# AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 4.5. MET AND PT AGREE.
DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RAE

印度洋的另一边，塔利亚似乎也在缩眼

FY-4B
似乎比原先更烂了（

Wind: 65 kt [ TY ]
Pressure: 983 hPa
Position: 20.2S, 89.4E
ACE: 15.3900

welcome to swio

1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 9 (TALIAH)
2.A POSITION 2025/02/12 AT 1800 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.1 S / 89.6 E
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 15 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 4.0/4.5/W 0.5/6 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 970 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 65 KT
1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2025/02/13 06 UTC: 22.0 S / 87.6 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 390 SE: 665 SW: 510 NW: 280
34 KT NE: 220 SE: 400 SW: 335 NW: 175
48 KT NE: 110 SE: 155 SW: 85 NW: 55
64 KT NE: 45 SE: 45 SW: 45 NW: 45
24H: 2025/02/13 18 UTC: 23.1 S / 85.7 E, VENT MAX= 060 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 370 SE: 545 SW: 415 NW: 270
34 KT NE: 215 SE: 325 SW: 280 NW: 165
48 KT NE: 110 SE: 150 SW: 85 NW: 45
36H: 2025/02/14 06 UTC: 23.7 S / 84.2 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 325 SE: 490 SW: 405 NW: 280
34 KT NE: 175 SE: 295 SW: 260 NW: 155
48 KT NE: 95 SE: 150 SW: 85 NW: 45
48H: 2025/02/14 18 UTC: 24.1 S / 83.2 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 315 SE: 520 SW: 465 NW: 270
34 KT NE: 175 SE: 325 SW: 285 NW: 150
48 KT NE: 95 SE: 150 SW: 85 NW: 45
60H: 2025/02/15 06 UTC: 24.3 S / 82.2 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 360 SE: 620 SW: 545 NW: 295
34 KT NE: 205 SE: 390 SW: 345 NW: 165
72H: 2025/02/15 18 UTC: 25.1 S / 80.9 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 445 SE: 620 SW: 520 NW: 285
34 KT NE: 260 SE: 390 SW: 335 NW: 185
48 KT NE: 120 SE: 155 SW: 120 NW: 75
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2025/02/16 18 UTC: 27.7 S / 78.5 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 380 SE: 565 SW: 480 NW: 305
34 KT NE: 215 SE: 360 SW: 315 NW: 165
48 KT NE: 100 SE: 150 SW: 85 NW: 45
120H: 2025/02/17 18 UTC: 30.4 S / 76.4 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT,
POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 465 SE: 510 SW: 415 NW: 260
34 KT NE: 260 SE: 345 SW: 280 NW: 155