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回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风SH142025

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IP属地:上海723楼2025-02-12 00:57
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    大烂眼是用嵌匿中心分析还是直接风眼分析模式?
    EMBEDDED IN MG
    DT=4.0
    考虑到大松菊,自评55-60kt


    IP属地:广东来自Android客户端724楼2025-02-12 01:24
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      IP属地:上海725楼2025-02-12 01:25
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        12z好像偷改了65,ACE: 13.2775


        IP属地:上海726楼2025-02-12 01:32
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          NAME: TROPICAL CYCLONE TALIAH
          IDENTIFIER: 14U
          DATA AT: 1800 UTC
          LATITUDE: 15.8S
          LONGITUDE: 91.3E
          LOCATION ACCURACY: WITHIN 25NM (45 KM)
          MOVEMENT TOWARDS: SOUTH SOUTHWEST (209 DEG)
          SPEED OF MOVEMENT: 7 KNOTS (13 KM/H)
          MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE WIND: 55 KNOTS (100 KM/H)
          MAXIMUM 3-SECOND WIND GUST: 75 KNOTS (140 KM/H)
          CENTRAL PRESSURE: 984 HPA
          FORECAST DATA
          DATE/TIME : LOCATION : LOC. ACCURACY: MAX WIND : CENTRAL PRESSURE
          (UTC) : DEGREES : NM (KM): KNOTS(KM/H): HPA
          +06: 12/0000: 16.4S 90.9E: 035 (070): 060 (110): 980
          +12: 12/0600: 17.4S 90.4E: 045 (085): 060 (110): 980
          +18: 12/1200: 18.5S 90.0E: 055 (100): 060 (110): 977
          +24: 12/1800: 19.6S 89.3E: 060 (110): 060 (110): 977
          +36: 13/0600: 21.5S 87.4E: 075 (135): 055 (100): 981
          +48: 13/1800: 22.8S 85.9E: 085 (155): 050 (095): 983
          +60: 14/0600: 23.7S 84.9E: 090 (170): 045 (085): 986
          +72: 14/1800: 24.3S 84.4E: 105 (195): 045 (085): 985
          +96: 15/1800: 25.1S 82.4E: 160 (295): 045 (085): 986
          +120: 16/1800: 27.9S 79.5E: 210 (385): 040 (075): 987


          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端727楼2025-02-12 04:45
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            14S TALIAH 250211 1800 16.0S 91.7E SHEM 65 982
            14S TALIAH 250211 1200 15.3S 91.9E SHEM 65 986
            14S TALIAH 250211 0600 14.9S 92.0E SHEM 60 992


            IP属地:广东来自Android客户端728楼2025-02-12 04:45
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              IP属地:广东来自Android客户端729楼2025-02-12 04:45
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                TPXS13 PGTW 111823
                A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
                B. 11/1730Z
                C. 15.81S
                D. 91.67E
                E. FIVE/GK2A
                F. T2.5/3.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
                G. IR/EIR
                H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .6 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
                YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. MET YIELDS 2.0. PT YIELDS 2.5. DBO PT.
                I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                SWANSON


                IP属地:广东来自Android客户端730楼2025-02-12 04:46
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                  TXXS27 KNES 111901
                  TCSSIO
                  A. 14S (TALIAH)
                  B. 11/1800Z
                  C. 15.9S
                  D. 91.6E
                  E. ONE/MET-9
                  F. T3.5/3.5
                  G. IR/EIR/GMI
                  H. REMARKS...A WMG EYE IS EMBEDDED IN DG AND SURROUNDED BY MG RESULTING
                  IN A DT OF 4.5 WITH NO EYE ADJUSTMENT. MET AND PT ARE ALSO 4.5. 6 HOUR
                  AVERAGE DT DOES NOT JUSTIFY BREAKING CONSTRAINTS. THE FT IS BASED ON
                  CONSTRAINTS LIMITING CHANGES IN T-NUMBER TO 1.0 OVER 6 HOURS.
                  I. ADDL POSITIONS
                  11/1739Z 15.9S 91.6E GMI
                  ...EVANS


                  IP属地:广东来自Android客户端731楼2025-02-12 04:46
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                    TPXS13 PGTW 112112
                    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
                    B. 11/2030Z
                    C. 15.99S
                    D. 91.49E
                    E. FIVE/GK2A
                    F. T2.5/2.5/W0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
                    G. IR/EIR
                    H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .5 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
                    YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. MET AND PT YIELD 2.0. DBO DT.
                    I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                    11/1738Z 16.02S 91.58E GPMI
                    DESSINO


                    IP属地:广东来自Android客户端732楼2025-02-12 06:00
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                      IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端733楼2025-02-12 07:30
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                        烂眼飙车,成回旋镖了(其实有点像台风图标)


                        IP属地:江苏734楼2025-02-12 07:49
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                          外围缺少围眼用的对流啊,现在空有一个大大的wmg,却无法构建稳定的眼壁



                          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端735楼2025-02-12 08:09
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                            TXXS27 KNES 120009
                            TCSSIO
                            A. 14S (TALIAH)
                            B. 11/2330Z
                            C. 16.8S
                            D. 91.3E
                            E. THREE/MET-9
                            F. T2.5/3.5
                            G. IR/EIR/SWIR/PRXY/GMI
                            H. REMARKS...5/10 BANDING YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. THE MET IS 3.0 BASED ON
                            A 24HR STEADY TREND. THE PT AGREES WITH THE DT. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
                            I. ADDL POSITIONS
                            11/1739Z 15.9S 91.6E GMI
                            ...GATLING


                            IP属地:福建736楼2025-02-12 08:17
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                              究竟是有多么绝望,才能够卷出如此的烂的眼


                              IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端737楼2025-02-12 08:25
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