14S TALIAH 250212 1800 20.2S 89.6E SHEM 65 983

TPXS13 PGTW 121800
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
B. 12/1730Z
C. 19.85S
D. 89.40E
E. FOUR/GK2A
F. T4.0/4.5/S0.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY OW
YIELDS AN E# AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 4.0. MET AND PT YIELD
4.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
TIMMERMAN

TXXS27 KNES 121757
TCSSIO
A. 14S (TALIAH)
B. 12/1700Z
C. 20.0S
D. 89.7E
E. ONE/MET-9
F. T4.5/4.5
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...WMG EYE EMBEDDED IN DG AND SURROUNDED BY MG RESULTS IN A DT
OF 3.5 WITH NO EYE ADJUSTMENT. MET IS 3.5 BASED ON THE STEADY TREND. PT
IS 4.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE 6 HOUR AVERAGE DT OF 4.5 WHICH JUSTIFIES
BREAKING CONSTRAINTS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...EVANS

TPXS13 PGTW 122122
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
B. 12/2030Z
C. 20.62S
D. 89.25E
E. FOUR/GK2A
F. T4.0/4.5/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY OW
YIELDS AN E# AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 4.0. MET AND PT YIELD
4.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
12/1541Z 19.47S 89.77E MMHS
TIMMERMAN

很遗憾

TXXS27 KNES 130012
TCSSIO
A. 14S (TALIAH)
B. 12/2330Z
C. 20.9S
D. 88.8E
E. THREE/MET-9
F. T3.5/4.5
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/PRXY
H. REMARKS...5/10 BANDING YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. THE MET AND PT ARE 3.5. THE
FT IS BASED ON THE MET BECAUSE THE BANDING FEATURES ARE NOT CLEAR CUT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...GATLING

TPXS13 PGTW 130026
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
B. 12/2350Z
C. 21.39S
D. 88.75E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T3.5/4.5/W0.5/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED IN OW YIELDS A DT OF
3.5. MET YIELDS 3.0. PT YIELDS 3.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
TIMMERMAN

14S TALIAH 250213 0000 21.3S 88.5E SHEM 60 985

Taliah再一次沦为了其他旋的配角

你怎么烂了?

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：王皘 签发：许映龙 2025 年 02 月 13 日 10 时
“塔利亚”向西南方向移动
时 间：12日20时（北京时）
海 域：西南印度洋
命 名：“塔利亚”，TALIAH
中心位置：南纬21.0度、东经88.9度
强度等级：三级强热带气旋
最大风力：12级（33米/秒，相当于我国的台风级）
中心气压：972百帕
参考位置：科科斯群岛西南方向约1300公里的洋面上
变化过程：过去24小时，“塔利亚”由11级加强到12级
预报结论：“塔利亚”将以每小时25公里左右的速度向西南方向移动，强度逐渐减弱。

图3 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年02月13日08时00分）

TPXS13 PGTW 130317
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
B. 13/0245Z
C. 21.25S
D. 87.71E
E. SIX/GK2A
F. T3.5/4.5/W0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED 10NM IN
SHEARED DENSE OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 3.0. MET AGREES. PT YIELDS
3.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
12/2140Z 20.82S 88.93E SSMS
12/2345Z 21.17S 88.57E SSMS
HUYNH

TXXS27 KNES 130600
TCSSIO
A. 14S (TALIAH)
B. 13/0515Z
C. 22.1S
D. 87.7E
E. THREE/MET-9
F. T3.0/4.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...CONVECTION WRAPS JUST OVER .3 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING
A DT OF 2.0. MET = 2.0 AND PT = 2.5. THE FT IS BASED ON CONSTRAINTS AS
14S CAN ONLY BE WEAKENED BY NO MORE THAN 1.5 IN LAST 12 HRS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...KIBLER