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回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风SH242025

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TPXS10 PGTW 111752
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (IVONE)
B. 11/1730Z
C. 19.48S
D. 77.04E
E. SIX/MET9
F. T2.0/2.5/W0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES WITH COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF
1.5. MET AND PT YIELD 2.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
11/1228Z 19.52S 77.93E SMOS
11/1253Z 19.75S 77.97E SSMS
11/1346Z 19.82S 77.95E SSMS
SWANSON


IP属地:广东来自Android客户端196楼2025-03-12 04:40
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    TXXS28 KNES 111750
    TCSSIO
    A. 24S (IVONE)
    B. 11/1715Z
    C. 19.9S
    D. 76.9E
    E. THREE/MET-9
    F. T1.0/2.0
    G. IR/EIR/SWIR
    H. REMARKS...CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES LOCATED GREATER THAN 1.25
    DEGREES FROM A SMALL COLD OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 1.0. THE MET IS 1.5
    BASED ON A WEAKENING TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS 1.0. THE
    FT IS BASED ON THE PT DUE TO WARMING CLOUD TOPS AND SINCE A PATTERN
    ADJUSTMENT WAS MADE.
    I. ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
    ...COVERDALE


    IP属地:广东来自Android客户端197楼2025-03-12 04:40
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      TPXS10 PGTW 112100
      A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (IVONE)
      B. 11/2030Z
      C. 19.86S
      D. 75.94E
      E. SIX/MET9
      F. T2.0/2.5/W0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
      G. IR/EIR
      H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD
      LINES WITH COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF
      1.5. MET YIELDS 1.5. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO PT.
      I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
      SWANSON


      IP属地:广东来自Android客户端198楼2025-03-12 06:00
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        TXXS28 KNES 120000
        TCSSIO
        A. 24S (IVONE)
        B. 11/2330Z
        C. 20.2S
        D. 75.6E
        E. FIVE/MET-9
        F. T1.0/1.5
        G. IR/EIR/SWIR
        H. REMARKS...LOOSELY DEFINED LLC LESS THAN 1.25 DEGREES FROM COLD
        OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 1.5. THE MET IS 1.5. THE PT IS 1.0. THE FT IS
        BASED ON THE PT DUE TO PULSING CONVECTION.
        I. ADDL POSITIONS
        NIL
        ...GATLING


        IP属地:福建200楼2025-03-12 08:20
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          TPXS10 PGTW 120011
          A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (IVONE)
          B. 11/2330Z
          C. 19.89S
          D. 74.94E
          E. FOUR/MET9
          F. T2.0/2.5/W0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
          G. IR/EIR
          H. REMARKS: 17A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
          WITH COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF 1.5. MET
          AND PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO PT.
          I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
          SWANSON


          IP属地:福建201楼2025-03-12 08:20
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            24S IVONE 250312 0000 19.7S 75.5E SHEM 40 997


            IP属地:福建202楼2025-03-12 08:50
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              IP属地:福建203楼2025-03-12 08:50
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                全球热带气旋监测公报
                预报:柳龙生 签发:钱奇峰 2025 年 03 月 12 日 10 时
                “伊沃娜”向偏南方向移动
                时 间:12日08时(北京时)
                海 域:南印度洋
                命 名:“伊沃娜”,IVONE
                中心位置:南纬19.9度、东经75.5度
                强度等级:热带风暴
                最大风力:8级(18米/秒,相当于我国的热带风暴级)
                中心气压:998百帕
                参考位置:毛里求斯路易港偏东方向约1880公里的洋面上
                变化过程:过去24小时,“伊沃娜”强度维持不变
                预报结论:“伊沃娜”将以每小时20-25公里的速度向偏西方向移动,强度变化不大。

                图1 卫星红外监测图像(北京时间2025年03月12日08时00分)


                IP属地:福建204楼2025-03-12 10:30
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                  TPXS10 PGTW 120303
                  A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (IVONE)
                  B. 12/0230Z
                  C. 19.38S
                  D. 74.77E
                  E. SIX/MET9
                  F. T1.0/2.0/W1.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
                  G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                  H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD
                  LINES WITH COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF
                  1.5. MET YIELDS A 2.0. PT AGREES WITH DT. DBO DT.
                  I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                  11/2212Z 19.82S 75.70E SSMS
                  DESSINO


                  IP属地:福建205楼2025-03-12 11:10
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                    TPXS10 PGTW 120303
                    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (IVONE)
                    B. 12/0230Z
                    C. 19.38S
                    D. 74.77E
                    E. SIX/MET9
                    F. T1.5/2.0/W1.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
                    G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                    H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD
                    LINES WITH COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF
                    1.5. MET YIELDS A 2.0. PT AGREES WITH DT. DBO DT.
                    I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                    11/2212Z 19.82S 75.70E SSMS
                    DESSINO


                    IP属地:福建206楼2025-03-12 11:31
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                      IP属地:福建207楼2025-03-12 11:32
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                        TXXS28 KNES 120544
                        TCSSIO
                        A. 24S (IVONE)
                        B. 12/0515Z
                        C. 19.6S
                        D. 74.9E
                        E. FIVE/MET-9
                        F. T1.0/1.0
                        G. IR/EIR/VIS
                        H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY LOOSELY-DEFINED CLOUD LINES AND
                        LLCC >1.25 DEG FM A LARGE COLD OVC RESULTING IN A DT OF 1.5. MET AND
                        PT=1.0. FT BASED ON MET DUE TO PULSING/IRREG CONVECTION.
                        I. ADDL POSITIONS
                        NIL
                        ...KONON


                        IP属地:福建208楼2025-03-12 14:10
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                          TPXS11 PGTW 120605
                          A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (JUDE)
                          B. 12/0530Z
                          C. 19.50S
                          D. 74.64E
                          E. SIX/MET9
                          F. T1.5/2.0/W1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
                          G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                          H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. LLCC LOCATED MORE THAN
                          75NM OUTSIDE OF COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELDS A DT
                          OF 1.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
                          I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                          12/0054Z 19.25S 75.25E MMWI
                          12/0100Z 19.57S 74.77E SSMS
                          DESSINO


                          IP属地:福建209楼2025-03-12 14:15
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                            24S IVONE 250312 0600 19.4S 74.4E SHEM 40 997


                            IP属地:福建210楼2025-03-12 15:00
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                              IP属地:福建211楼2025-03-12 15:10
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