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回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风SH242025

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TXXS28 KNES 101753
TCSSIO
A. 24S (IVONE)
B. 10/1715Z
C. 19.8S
D. 81.3E
E. THREE/MET-9
F. T2.5/3.5
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES LOCATED LESS THAN 75NM FROM
A LARGE COLD OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 2.0. THE MET AND PT ARE 2.5 BASED
ON A SLOW WEAKENING TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE FT IS BASED ON
THE MET DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT LLCC POSITION.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...COVERDALE


IP属地:广东来自Android客户端165楼2025-03-11 04:45
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    TPXS10 PGTW 102107
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (IVONE)
    B. 10/2030Z
    C. 20.40S
    D. 80.70E
    E. SIX/MET9
    F. T2.5/2.5/W0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
    G. IR/EIR
    H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. DENSE OVERCAST SHEARED
    30NM FROM LLCC YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 3.0. PT YIELDS 2.5.
    DBO DT.
    I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
    SWANSON


    IP属地:广东来自Android客户端166楼2025-03-11 06:00
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      TPXS10 PGTW 102352
      A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (IVONE)
      B. 10/2330Z
      C. 20.17S
      D. 80.03E
      E. SIX/MET9
      F. T2.5/2.5/W0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
      G. IR/EIR
      H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. DENSE OVERCAST SHEARED
      45NM FROM LLCC YIELDS A DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS 3.0. PT YIELDS 2.5.
      DBO PT.
      I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
      10/1927Z 20.08S 80.87E ATMS
      SWANSON


      IP属地:福建167楼2025-03-11 08:41
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        TXXS28 KNES 110003
        TCSSIO
        A. 24S (IVONE)
        B. 10/2330Z
        C. 20.2S
        D. 80.4E
        E. FIVE/MET-9
        F. T2.5/3.0
        G. IR/EIR/SWIR/PRXY
        H. REMARKS...CIRCULARLY DEFINED LLCC LESS THAN 1.25 DEGREES FROM
        COLD OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 2.0. THE MET IS 2.5 BASED ON A 24HR SLOW
        WEAKENING TREND. THE PT IS 2.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET DUE TO
        PULSING CONVECTION.
        I. ADDL POSITIONS
        NIL
        ...GATLING


        IP属地:福建168楼2025-03-11 08:42
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          24S IVONE 250311 0000 20.2S 79.9E SHEM 45 998


          IP属地:福建169楼2025-03-11 08:47
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            IP属地:福建170楼2025-03-11 08:48
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              24S IVONE 250311 0000 20.2S 79.9E SHEM 45 998


              IP属地:福建172楼2025-03-11 09:30
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                IP属地:上海来自iPhone客户端173楼2025-03-11 10:08
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                  全球热带气旋监测公报
                  预报:柳龙生 签发:钱奇峰 2025 年 03 月 11 日 10 时
                  “伊沃娜”向偏西方向移动
                  时 间:11日08时(北京时)
                  海 域:南印度洋
                  命 名:“伊沃娜”,IVONE
                  中心位置:南纬20.1度、东经80.5度
                  强度等级:热带风暴
                  最大风力:8级(20米/秒,相当于我国的热带风暴级)
                  中心气压:995百帕
                  参考位置:毛里求斯路易港偏东方向约2400公里的洋面上
                  变化过程:过去24小时,“伊沃娜”由9级减弱到8级
                  预报结论:“伊沃娜”将以每小时20-25公里的速度向偏西方向移动,强度变化不大。

                  图1 卫星红外监测图像(北京时间2025年03月11日08时00分)


                  IP属地:福建174楼2025-03-11 10:22
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                    TPXS10 PGTW 110307
                    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (IVONE)
                    B. 11/0230Z
                    C. 20.03S
                    D. 79.62E
                    E. SIX/MET9
                    F. T2.5/3.0/W0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
                    G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                    H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD
                    LINES WITH COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF
                    2.5. MET YIELDS A 3.0. PT AGREES WITH DT. DBO DT.
                    I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                    10/2226Z 19.68S 80.87E SSMS
                    HUYNH


                    IP属地:福建175楼2025-03-11 11:15
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                      TPXS10 PGTW 110605
                      A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (IVONE)
                      B. 11/0530Z
                      C. 19.95S
                      D. 79.21E
                      E. SIX/MET9
                      F. T2.5/3.0/W0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
                      G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                      H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD
                      LINES WITH COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF
                      2.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
                      I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                      11/0021Z 20.02S 79.93E SSMS
                      11/0113Z 20.07S 80.13E SSMS
                      HUYNH


                      IP属地:福建176楼2025-03-11 14:15
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                        TXXS28 KNES 110559
                        TCSSIO
                        A. 24S (IVONE)
                        B. 11/0530Z
                        C. 20.0S
                        D. 78.9E
                        E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
                        F. T2.0/2.5
                        G. IR/EIR/VIS
                        H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY CIRCULARLY-DEFINED CLOUD LINES AND
                        LLCC >1.25 DEG FM A LARGE COLD OVC RESULTING IN A DT OF 1.5. POLEWARD
                        OUTFLOW CHANNEL GOOD. MET=2.5 AND PT=2.0. FT BASED ON PT DUE TO
                        PULSING/IRREG CONVECTION.
                        I. ADDL POSITIONS
                        NIL
                        ...KONON


                        IP属地:福建177楼2025-03-11 14:15
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                          IP属地:福建178楼2025-03-11 14:38
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                            IP属地:福建179楼2025-03-11 14:41
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                              24S IVONE 250311 0600 20.3S 79.1E SHEM 45 998


                              IP属地:福建180楼2025-03-11 14:46
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