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回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风SH232025

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23S HONDE 250304 1800 30.8S 49.0E SHEM 50 987


IP属地:广东来自Android客户端316楼2025-03-05 04:40
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    IP属地:广东来自Android客户端317楼2025-03-05 04:40
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      TPXS11 PGTW 041801
      A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (HONDE)
      B. 04/1730Z
      C. 30.93S
      D. 48.99E
      E. FIVE/MET9
      F. T2.5/3.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
      G. IR/EIR
      H. REMARKS: 47A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .6 ON LOG10
      SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. MET AND PT YIELD 2.5. DBO PT.
      I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
      04/1353Z 30.25S 48.88E GPMI
      SWANSON


      IP属地:广东来自Android客户端318楼2025-03-05 04:40
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        TXXS26 KNES 041747
        TCSSIO
        A. 23S (HONDE)
        B. 04/1715Z
        C. 30.7S
        D. 49.6E
        E. THREE/MET-9
        F. T2.0/2.0
        G. IR/EIR/SWIR/PRXY/SSMIS
        H. REMARKS...CENTER IS ON THE NW EDGE OF DEEP CONVECTION RESULTING IN
        A DT OF 3.0 USING THE SHEAR PATTERN. THE MET AND PT ARE 2.0. THE FT IS
        BASED ON THE MET DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE CENTER LOCATION.
        I. ADDL POSITIONS
        04/1522Z 30.4S 49.0E SSMIS
        ...TURK


        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端319楼2025-03-05 04:41
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          TPXS11 PGTW 042056
          A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (HONDE)
          B. 04/2030Z
          C. 31.10S
          D. 48.92E
          E. FIVE/MET9
          F. T2.5/3.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
          G. IR/EIR
          H. REMARKS: 47A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. DENSE OVERCAST SHEARED
          44NM FROM LLCC YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 1.5. PT YIELDS 2.0.
          DBO DT.
          I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
          04/1519Z 30.50S 48.98E SSMS
          SWANSON


          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端320楼2025-03-05 06:00
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            TPXS11 PGTW 042359
            A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (HONDE)
            B. 04/2330Z
            C. 31.76S
            D. 48.95E
            E. THREE/MET9
            F. T2.5/3.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
            G. IR/EIR
            H. REMARKS: 17A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. DENSE OVERCAST SHEARED 39NM
            FROM LLCC YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 2.5. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO
            DT.
            I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
            SWANSON


            IP属地:福建321楼2025-03-05 08:17
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              23S HONDE 250305 0000 31.9S 49.0E SHEM 50 987


              IP属地:福建322楼2025-03-05 08:18
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                TXXS26 KNES 042341
                TCSSIO
                A. 23S (HONDE)
                B. 04/2315Z
                C. 31.7S
                D. 49.2E
                E. THREE/MET-9
                F. T1.5/2.0
                G. IR/EIR/SWIR
                H. REMARKS...CENTER <3/4 DEG FM A LARGE COLD OVC RESULTING IN A DT OF
                2.5. MET=1.0 AND PT=1.5. FT BASED ON PT DUE TO IRREG/PULSING CONVECTION.
                I. ADDL POSITIONS
                NIL
                ...KONON


                IP属地:福建323楼2025-03-05 08:20
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                  POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (HONDE)


                  IP属地:福建324楼2025-03-05 08:32
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                    IP属地:福建325楼2025-03-05 08:48
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                      IP属地:福建326楼2025-03-05 09:03
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                        全球热带气旋监测公报
                        预报:宋佳凝 签发:钱奇峰 2025 年 03 月 05 日 10 时
                        “洪德”向偏南方向移动
                        时 间:5日08时(北京时)
                        海 域:南印度洋
                        命 名:“洪德”,HONDE
                        中心位置:南纬31.8度、东经49.0度
                        强度等级:强热带风暴
                        最大风力:10级(25米/秒,相当于我国的强热带风暴级)
                        中心气压:985百帕
                        参考位置:马达加斯加陶拉纳鲁南偏东方向约780公里的洋面上
                        变化过程:过去24小时,“洪德”强度维持不变
                        预报结论:“洪德”将以每小时20-25公里的速度向偏南方向移动,强度逐渐减弱。
                        (这是关于“洪德”的最后一期监测公报)

                        图3 卫星红外监测图像(北京时间2025年03月05日08时00分)


                        IP属地:福建327楼2025-03-05 10:45
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                          TPXS11 PGTW 050309
                          A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (HONDE)
                          B. 05/0230Z
                          C. 31.96S
                          D. 48.98E
                          E. THREE/MET9
                          F. T2.0/3.0/W0.5/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
                          G. IR/EIR
                          H. REMARKS: 17A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. DENSE OVERCAST SHEARED 55NM
                          FROM LLCC YIELDS A DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS 1.5. PT AGREES WITH DT.
                          DBO DT.
                          I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                          04/2148Z 31.00S 48.58E AMS2
                          04/2351Z 31.40S 48.75E SSMS
                          PETERSEN


                          IP属地:福建328楼2025-03-05 11:15
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                            TXXS26 KNES 050600
                            TCSSIO
                            A. 23S (HONDE)
                            B. 05/0515Z
                            C. 32.6S
                            D. 49.1E
                            E. THREE/MET-9
                            F. T2.0/2.0
                            G. IR/EIR/VIS
                            H. REMARKS...CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES LOCATED LESS THAN 1.25
                            DEGREES FROM THE LARGE COLD CONVECTION RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.0. THE MET AND
                            PT AGREE. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET BECAUSE THE EDGE OF THE CONVECTION
                            WAS NOT CLEAR CUT,
                            I. ADDL POSITIONS
                            NIL
                            ...BERTALAN


                            IP属地:福建329楼2025-03-05 14:01
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                              IP属地:广西来自Android客户端330楼2025-03-05 14:03
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