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回复:【讨论旋风】南太平洋旋风SH182025

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IP属地:福建665楼2025-03-05 23:16
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    IP属地:上海666楼2025-03-05 23:19
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      IP属地:上海667楼2025-03-05 23:22
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        Details of Tropical Cyclone Alfred 22U at 1:00 am AEST:
        Intensity: category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
        Location: within 30 kilometres of 27.4 degrees South, 156.3 degrees East , 325 kilometres east of Brisbane and 300 kilometres east northeast of Gold Coast .
        Movement: west at 7 kilometres per hour .
        Tropical Cyclone Alfred will continue its approach towards the southeast Queensland coast, with the far western edge already impacting the coast from about Coolangatta to Ballina.
        Alfred is a category 2 cyclone, and is forecast to maintain this intensity as it continues to approach the southeast Queensland coast. The centre of Alfred is expected to cross the coast during Friday, most likely between Maroochydore and Coolangatta.


        IP属地:福建668楼2025-03-06 00:13
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          NAME: TROPICAL CYCLONE ALFRED
          IDENTIFIER: 22U
          DATA AT: 1800 UTC
          LATITUDE: 27.5S
          LONGITUDE: 156.3E
          LOCATION ACCURACY: WITHIN 10NM (20 KM)
          MOVEMENT TOWARDS: WEST SOUTHWEST (254 DEG)
          SPEED OF MOVEMENT: 4 KNOTS (7 KM/H)
          MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE WIND: 50 KNOTS (95 KM/H)
          MAXIMUM 3-SECOND WIND GUST: 70 KNOTS (130 KM/H)
          CENTRAL PRESSURE: 980 HPA
          FORECAST DATA
          DATE/TIME : LOCATION : LOC. ACCURACY: MAX WIND : CENTRAL PRESSURE
          (UTC) : DEGREES : NM (KM): KNOTS(KM/H): HPA
          +06: 06/0000: 27.5S 155.8E: 025 (040): 050 (095): 981
          +12: 06/0600: 27.5S 155.2E: 030 (060): 055 (100): 978
          +18: 06/1200: 27.6S 154.6E: 035 (065): 055 (100): 978
          +24: 06/1800: 27.6S 154.1E: 035 (070): 055 (100): 979
          +36: 07/0600: 27.4S 153.2E: 050 (095): 045 (085): 986
          +48: 07/1800: 27.3S 152.5E: 065 (115): 030 (055): 996
          +60: 08/0600: 27.1S 151.8E: 090 (165): 025 (045): 1000
          +72: 08/1800: 27.4S 150.7E: 125 (230): 025 (045): 1000
          +96: 09/1800: : : :
          +120: 10/1800: : : :



          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端669楼2025-03-06 04:35
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            18P ALFRED 250305 1800 27.4S 156.3E SHEM 50 983


            IP属地:广东来自Android客户端670楼2025-03-06 04:35
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              TPPS12 PGTW 051754
              A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
              B. 05/1730Z
              C. 27.44S
              D. 156.37E
              E. THREE/HMWRI9
              F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
              G. IR/EIR
              H. REMARKS: 17A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
              LOCATED WITHIN 75NM OF COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET AND PT
              AGREE. DBO DT.
              I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
              SWANSON


              IP属地:广东来自Android客户端671楼2025-03-06 04:35
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                TXPS22 KNES 051809
                TCSWSP
                A. 18P (ALFRED)
                B. 05/1730Z
                C. 27.5S
                D. 156.3E
                E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
                F. T1.5/1.5
                G. IR/EIR/SWIR
                H. REMARKS...SHEAR PATTERN CHARACTERIZED BY CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD
                LINES WITH THE LLCC LESS THAN 75 NM FROM A SMALL COLD OVERCAST YIELDING
                A DT=1.5. MET AND PT ARE UNDEFINED. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
                I. ADDL POSITIONS
                NIL
                ...LEE


                IP属地:广东来自Android客户端672楼2025-03-06 04:35
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                  Details of Tropical Cyclone Alfred 22U at 7:00 am AEST [8:00 am AEDT]:
                  Intensity: Category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
                  Location: within 20 kilometres of 27.5 degrees South 155.9 degrees East, estimated to be 285 kilometres east of Brisbane and 260 kilometres east northeast of Gold Coast.
                  Movement: west southwest at 7 kilometres per hour.
                  Tropical Cyclone Alfred will continue its approach towards the southeast Queensland coast, with the far western edge already impacting the coast between Coolangatta and Ballina.
                  Alfred is a category 2 cyclone, and is forecast to maintain this intensity as it continues to approach the southeast Queensland coast. The centre of Alfred is expected to cross the coast later Friday or early Saturday, most likely between Maroochydore and Coolangatta.



                  IP属地:广东来自Android客户端673楼2025-03-06 06:01
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                    TPPS12 PGTW 052055
                    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
                    B. 05/2030Z
                    C. 27.46S
                    D. 155.81E
                    E. THREE/HMWRI9
                    F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
                    G. IR/EIR
                    H. REMARKS: 17A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
                    LOCATED WITHIN 75NM OF COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET AND PT
                    YIELD 2.0. DBO PT.
                    I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                    SWANSON


                    IP属地:广东来自Android客户端674楼2025-03-06 06:01
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                      IP属地:山东675楼2025-03-06 06:34
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                        疑进26℃水


                        IP属地:广西来自Android客户端676楼2025-03-06 06:51
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                          18P登陆地周边有27~28℃水


                          IP属地:广西来自Android客户端677楼2025-03-06 06:52
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                            TXPS22 KNES 052358
                            TCSWSP
                            A. 18P (ALFRED)
                            B. 05/2330Z
                            C. 27.4S
                            D. 155.6E
                            E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
                            F. T2.0/2.0
                            G. IR/EIR/VIS
                            H. REMARKS...CENTER <1/2 DEG FM A LARGE COLD OVC RESULTING IN A DT OF
                            3.0. MET=3.0 AND PT=2.5. FT BASED ON CONSTRAINTS LIMITING FT CHG TO 0.5
                            IN 6 HR WHEN PREV 6 HR FT <2.0. SYSTEM LIKELY SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER
                            THAN FT INDICATES.
                            I. ADDL POSITIONS
                            NIL
                            ...KONON


                            IP属地:福建678楼2025-03-06 08:06
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                              TPPS12 PGTW 060014
                              A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
                              B. 05/2330Z
                              C. 27.36S
                              D. 155.47E
                              E. THREE/HMWRI9
                              F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
                              G. IR/EIR
                              H. REMARKS: 17A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
                              LOCATED WITHIN 75NM OF COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET AND PT
                              AGREE. DBO DT.
                              I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                              05/1847Z 27.43S 156.42E SSMS
                              05/1937Z 27.22S 156.33E SSMS
                              05/2028Z 27.27S 156.17E GPMI
                              SWANSON


                              IP属地:福建679楼2025-03-06 08:30
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