台风吧 关注:288,917贴子:6,646,789

回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风SH102025

只看楼主收藏回复



IP属地:福建605楼2025-01-22 08:55
回复
    在肖恩的帮助下,澳洲区2024-25的ACE已经达到11.49,比常年同期低3.92,希望澳洲区接下来再接再厉(图片来自simon)


    IP属地:广西来自Android客户端606楼2025-01-22 09:05
    收起回复
      10S SEAN 250122 0000 27.3S 107.0E SHEM 45 988


      IP属地:福建607楼2025-01-22 09:16
      回复
        有人挖坟,顶一下


        IP属地:广西来自Android客户端608楼2025-01-22 09:28
        回复
          全球热带气旋监测公报
          预报:王海平 签发:张 玲 2025 年 01 月 22 日 10 时
          “肖恩”向南偏东方向移动
          时 间:22日08时(北京时)
          海 域:澳大利亚附近海域
          命 名:“肖恩”,SEAN
          中心位置:南纬27.3度、东经106.9度
          强度等级:一级热带气旋
          最大风力:9级(23米/秒,相当于我国的热带风暴级)
          中心气压:987百帕
          参考位置:澳大利亚昆士兰州凯恩斯西偏南方向约4150公里的洋面上
          变化过程:过去24小时,“肖恩”由15级减弱到9级
          预报结论:“肖恩”将以每小时5-10公里的速度向南偏东方向缓慢移动,强度变化不大。

          图1 卫星红外监测图像(北京时间2025年01月22日08时00分)


          IP属地:福建609楼2025-01-22 09:30
          回复


            IP属地:福建610楼2025-01-22 10:30
            回复
              TPXS10 PGTW 220304
              A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (SEAN)
              B. 22/0230Z
              C. 27.45S
              D. 106.99E
              E. THREE/GK2A
              F. T3.0/3.5/W1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
              G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
              H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. DENSE OVERCAST SHEARED 65NM
              FROM LLCC YIELDS A DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS A 3.5. PT YIELDS A 2.5 DBO
              CONSTRAINTS.
              I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
              21/2212Z 26.97S 106.95E SSMS
              21/2223Z 27.10S 107.02E SARI
              21/2240Z 27.12S 106.92E SSMS
              21/2250Z 27.07S 106.83E GPMI
              LINDGREN


              IP属地:福建611楼2025-01-22 11:10
              回复
                10S SEAN 250122 0000 27.3S 107.0E SHEM 50 985


                IP属地:福建612楼2025-01-22 11:20
                回复
                  即将转温,再见


                  IP属地:内蒙古来自Android客户端613楼2025-01-22 12:28
                  回复
                    TPXS10 PGTW 220601
                    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (SEAN)
                    B. 22/0530Z
                    C. 27.67S
                    D. 107.03E
                    E. THREE/GK2A
                    F. T2.5/3.0/W2.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
                    G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                    H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
                    WITH VERY SMALL OR NONEXISTENT, COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 1.5.
                    MET YIELDS A 3.0. PT YIELDS A 2.5. DBO PT.
                    I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                    LINDGREN


                    IP属地:福建614楼2025-01-22 14:11
                    回复
                      Ex-Tropical Cyclone Sean was located at 2:00 pm AWST near 27.8S 107.1E, that is
                      670 km west southwest of Denham and 740 km west of Geraldton and moving south
                      southwest at 11 kilometres per hour.
                      Ex-Tropical Cyclone Sean has weakened well west of WA as it moves to the south
                      southwest. The remnants of Sean are forecast to remain well offshore and track
                      southwards during Wednesday and Thursday.


                      IP属地:福建615楼2025-01-22 14:40
                      回复



                        IP属地:福建616楼2025-01-22 14:55
                        回复
                          TXXS28 KNES 220647
                          TCSSIO
                          A. 10S (SEAN)
                          B. 22/0530Z
                          C. 27.7S
                          D. 107.1E
                          E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
                          F. T2.0/3.0
                          G. IR/EIR/VIS
                          H. REMARKS...A LACK OF ACTIVE DEEP CONVECTION GIVES A DT OF 0.0. THE
                          MET IS 3.0 BASED ON A RAPIDLY WEAKENING TREND IN APPARENT INTENSITY
                          OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS 2.5. THE FT IS BASED ON CONSTRAINTS
                          LIMITING CHANGE IN INTENSITY OVER 12 HOURS TO 1.5 T NUMBERS. THE ONLY
                          DG OR COLDER AREA IS A WARMING AND DISSIPATING AREA OF REMNANT ANVIL A
                          LITTLE OVER 100 NM E OF THE LLCC.
                          I. ADDL POSITIONS
                          NIL
                          ...HOSLEY


                          IP属地:福建617楼2025-01-22 14:55
                          回复
                            10S SEAN 250122 0600 27.9S 107.0E SHEM 45 987


                            IP属地:福建618楼2025-01-22 15:15
                            回复


                              IP属地:福建619楼2025-01-22 15:30
                              回复