TXXS28 KNES 210024
TCSSIO
A. 10S (SEAN)
B. 20/2330Z
C. 24.0S
D. 109.3E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T4.0/5.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...LLCC EMBEDDED IN DG RESULTS IN A DT OF 4.0. 2018Z SSMIS
PASS SHOWED STRONGEST CONVECTION E QUAD. UPR-LVL OUTFLOW ENVELOPE LARGE
AND WELL-DEFINED. MET AND PT=4.0. FT BASED ON MET DUE TO UNCERTAINTY OF
EXACT LLCC LOCATION.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...KONON

好干

Severe Tropical Cyclone Sean (Category 3) was located at 8:00 am AWST near
24.0S 109.2E, that is 485 km west southwest of Ningaloo and 460 km west
northwest of Carnarvon and moving southwest at 19 kilometres per hour.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Sean is located well west of Ningaloo and is moving to
the southwest. Winds are easing over the far west Pilbara and far northwest
Gascoyne. Sean has weakened to Category 3 over cooler waters, is forecast to
continue weakening and is likely to be below tropical cyclone strength by
Thursday.

Sean:你看那三个南半球无名货就是逊辣

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：向纯怡 签发：张 玲 2025 年 01 月 21 日 10 时
“肖恩”向西南方向移动
时 间：21日08时（北京时）
海 域：澳大利亚附近海域
命 名：“肖恩”，SEAN
中心位置：南纬24.0度、东经109.2度
强度等级：三级强热带气旋
最大风力：14级（42米/秒，相当于我国的强台风级）
中心气压：954百帕
参考位置：澳大利亚西澳大利亚州埃克斯茅斯西偏南方向约560公里的洋面上
变化过程：过去24小时，“肖恩”由15级减弱到14级
预报结论：“肖恩”将以每小时15-20公里的速度向西南方向移动，强度逐渐减弱。

图1 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年01月21日08时00分）

TPXS10 PGTW 210306
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (SEAN)
B. 21/0230Z
C. 24.47S
D. 108.90E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T4.0/5.0/W1.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED IN LG YIELDS A DT OF
4.5. BOTH MET AND PT YIELD A 4.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
20/2214Z 23.87S 109.40E SARI
20/2223Z 24.27S 109.17E SSMS
20/2225Z 24.00S 109.28E SSMS
20/2255Z 23.83S 109.18E SSMS
LINDGREN

渐渐地堕入了风烛残年

TXXS28 KNES 210603
TCSSIO
A. 10S (SEAN)
B. 21/0530Z
C. 25.0S
D. 108.8E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T4.5/4.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY A LLCC EMBEDDED IN LG FOR A DT=4.5
MET AND PT AGREE. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN
THE POSITION OF THE LLCC.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...FISHER

TPXS10 PGTW 210613
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (SEAN)
B. 21/0530Z
C. 24.81S
D. 108.54E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T4.5/5.0/W1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED IN LG YIELDS A DT OF
4.5. MET YIELDS A 5.0. PT YIELDS A 4.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
LINDGREN