TXXS26 KNES 140019 TCSSIO A. 07S (DIKELEDI) B. 13/2330Z C. 16.4S D. 39.9E E. THREE/MET-9 F. T3.5/3.5 G. IR/EIR/SWIR H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY 8/10 BANDING ON A LOG-10 SCALE. DT=3.5 MET AND PT ARE UNAVAILABLE DUE TO SIGNIFICANT LAND INTERACTION. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT. I. ADDL POSITIONS NIL ...FISHER
TPXS12 PGTW 140040 A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (DIKELEDI) B. 14/0000Z C. 16.15S D. 39.90E E. FIVE/MET9 F. T4.0/4.0/W0.5/24HRS STT: W1.0/12HRS G. IR/EIR H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS 1.2 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 4.0. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT. DVORAK VALUES MAY BE UNREP DUE TO LLCC OVER LAND. I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE NEVAREZ
磨的有点狠,J不看好其爆发,且上望降到70 RAPID INTENSIFICATION (RI) PROBABILITIES OVER THE NEXT 36 ARE HOVERING AROUND 20 PERCENT, SO IT SHOULD NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION. THE JTWC INTENSITY FORECAST IS PLACED WITH OVERALL LOW CONFIDENCE DUE TO THE RI CHANCE AND THEN THE VARIANCE REGARDING THE AMOUNT OF LAND INTERACTION WITH NORTHERN MADAGASCAR.