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回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风2025-Dikeledi

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不是哥们怎么上一节课就给你开出眼了


IP属地:上海462楼2025-01-13 20:12
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    TPXS12 PGTW 131150
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (DIKELEDI)
    B. 13/1130Z
    C. 15.10S
    D. 40.66E
    E. THREE/MET9
    F. T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
    G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
    H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. EYE EMBEDDED 30NM IN CDO
    YIELDS AN E# OF 4.0 AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 4.0. MET AND PT
    YIELD 5.0. DBO PT. INTENSITY ESTIMATE MAY NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE DUE
    TO PROXIMITY TO LAND.
    I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
    13/0557Z 15.05S 41.12E MMHS
    13/0630Z 14.93S 40.98E MMHS
    SWANSON


    IP属地:福建463楼2025-01-13 20:19
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      SH, 07, 2025011312, , BEST, 0, 152S, 406E, 85, 978, TY, 34, NEQ, 35, 35, 25, 50, 1002, 185, 12, 0, 15, S, 0, , 0, 0, DIKELEDI, D,
      SH, 07, 2025011312, , BEST, 0, 152S, 406E, 85, 978, TY, 50, NEQ, 20, 25, 15, 30, 1002, 185, 12, 0, 15, S, 0, , 0, 0, DIKELEDI, D,
      SH, 07, 2025011312, , BEST, 0, 152S, 406E, 85, 978, TY, 64, NEQ, 15, 20, 10, 15, 1002, 185, 12, 0, 15, S, 0, , 0, 0, DIKELEDI, D,


      IP属地:广东464楼2025-01-13 20:22
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        IP属地:江苏来自iPhone客户端465楼2025-01-13 20:25
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          不错,二巅应该有85-90水平


          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端466楼2025-01-13 20:35
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            TXXS26 KNES 131235
            TCSSIO
            A. 07S (DIKELEDI)
            B. 13/1130Z
            C. 15.1S
            D. 40.6E
            E. ONE/MET-9
            F. T5.0/5.0
            G. IR/EIR/VIS
            H. REMARKS...MG EYE SURROUNDED BY B AND EMBEDDED IN LG RESULTS IN AN E#
            OF 5.0 WITH NO EADJ FOR A DT OF 5.0. SOLID INTENSIFICATION LAST 6 HR
            WITH EYE NOW APPARENT. UPR-LVL OUTFLOW MORE DEFINED AND EXPANDING. MET
            AND PT=5.5. FT BASED DT.
            I. ADDL POSITIONS
            NIL
            ...KONON


            IP属地:福建467楼2025-01-13 20:56
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              TC ADVISORY
              DTG: 20250113/1225Z
              TCAC: REUNION
              TC: DIKELEDI
              ADVISORY NR: 2025/19
              OBS PSN: 13/1200Z S1510 E04034
              CB: WI 390NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL520
              MOV: WSW 07KT
              INTST CHANGE: INTSF
              C: 971HPA
              MAX WIND: 75KT
              FCST PSN +6 HR: 13/1800Z S1536 E03958
              FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 55KT
              FCST PSN +12 HR: 14/0000Z S1625 E04001
              FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 60KT
              FCST PSN +18 HR: 14/0600Z S1715 E03952
              FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 60KT
              FCST PSN +24 HR: 14/1200Z S1806 E03954
              FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 65KT


              IP属地:福建468楼2025-01-13 20:56
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                CDO会擦过的地方海拔也就两百米左右,就看会磨多久了



                IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端469楼2025-01-13 21:03
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                  IP属地:广东470楼2025-01-13 21:25
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                    打磨一下未尝不是好事,没人想看槽爆的时候因为大雨带开始双


                    IP属地:中国香港来自iPhone客户端471楼2025-01-13 21:28
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                      将就着看吧,Dapiya貌似不更新云图的,目前看持续西南行,没啥转向迹象,希望速速出海


                      IP属地:广东472楼2025-01-13 21:47
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                        考虑到东侧新生的VHT挤压眼区以及仅仅是一个小时的变化带来的视觉上的误差,这一丢丢的北向量基本可以忽略,但是这至少说明了一个严重的问题。
                        停车,这条道通向非洲,不通向莫桑比克海峡啊喂。


                        IP属地:山东473楼2025-01-13 21:48
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                          DIKEDELI LANDED JUST SOUTH OF ILHA DE
                          MOCAMBIQUE IN NAMPULA PROVINCE AROUND 1200UTC. THE MICROWAVE PASS OF
                          THE GCOM-W - AMSR2 FROM 1109Z SHOWS A SLIGHT TILT OF THE STRUCTURE ON
                          THE VERTICAL, WHICH CAN MISLEAD THE ESTIMATION OF THE POSITION BASED
                          ONLY ON THE CLASSIC SATELLITE IMAGE. IT ALSO SHOWS A CLEAR
                          IMPROVEMENT IN THE EYE WALL AT 85GHZ. THE RSMC SUBJECTIVE DVORAK
                          ESTIMATE AT THE TIME OF LANDING POINTS TO AN INTENSITY OF 75KT, ALSO
                          VERY CLOSE TO THE ESTIMATES OF AMERICAN AGENCIES AND OBJECTIVE CIMSS
                          DATA.


                          IP属地:福建474楼2025-01-13 21:52
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                            薯条上望都调到100以下了,希望能赶紧出海吧别把自己磨没了
                            昨天被切成那样薯条都坚持C4


                            IP属地:福建475楼2025-01-13 21:52
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                              IP属地:广东476楼2025-01-13 21:54
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