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回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风SH272025

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IP属地:福建741楼2025-03-31 12:47
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    TPXS11 PGTW 310549
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (COURTNEY)
    B. 31/0530Z
    C. 23.89S
    D. 88.34E
    E. FOUR/GK2A
    F. T3.0/3.5/W1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
    G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
    H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. DENSE OVERCAST SHEARED 15NM
    FROM LLCC YIELDS A DT OF 3.0. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
    I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
    31/0005Z 23.07S 88.15E SSMS
    31/0218Z 23.37S 88.22E CWVR
    31/0219Z 23.37S 88.20E TMPT
    31/0249Z 23.47S 88.22E MMHS
    HUYNH


    IP属地:福建742楼2025-03-31 13:56
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      TXXS21 KNES 310549
      TCSSIO
      A. 27S (COURTNEY)
      B. 31/0515Z
      C. 23.6S
      D. 88.4E
      E. THREE/MET-9
      F. T3.0/3.5
      G. IR/EIR/VIS
      H. REMARKS...LLCC LOCATED <1/2 DEG FM A LARGE COLD OVC RESULTING IN
      A DT OF 3.0. MET=3.5 AND PT=3.0. FT BASED ON PT DUE TO IRREG/PULSING
      CONVECTION.
      I. ADDL POSITIONS
      NIL
      ...KONON


      IP属地:福建743楼2025-03-31 13:56
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        截止本日00ZJTWC官评路经


        IP属地:广西来自Android客户端744楼2025-03-31 14:14
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          IP属地:福建745楼2025-03-31 14:30
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            27S COURTNEY 250331 0600 24.0S 88.5E SHEM 65 982


            IP属地:福建746楼2025-03-31 14:30
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              IP属地:福建747楼2025-03-31 14:31
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                IP属地:广西来自Android客户端748楼2025-03-31 14:50
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                  IP属地:天津来自Android客户端749楼2025-03-31 14:57
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                    IP属地:福建750楼2025-03-31 16:09
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                      TPXS11 PGTW 310852
                      A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (COURTNEY)
                      B. 31/0830Z
                      C. 24.33S
                      D. 88.72E
                      E. FOUR/GK2A
                      F. T3.0/3.5/W1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
                      G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                      H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. DENSE OVERCAST SHEARED 25NM
                      FROM LLCC YIELDS A DT OF 3.0. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
                      I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                      31/0341Z 23.43S 88.27E MMHS
                      31/0346Z 23.57S 88.28E MMHS
                      HUYNH


                      IP属地:福建751楼2025-03-31 16:55
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                        全球热带气旋监测公报
                        预报:黄奕武 签发:向纯怡 2025 年 03 月 31 日 18 时
                        “考特尼”向偏南方向移动
                        时 间:31日14时(北京时)
                        海 域:南印度洋
                        命 名:“考特尼”,COURTNEY
                        中心位置:南纬23.9度、东经88.5度
                        强度等级:强热带风暴
                        最大风力:11级(30米/秒,相当于我国的强热带风暴级)
                        中心气压:981百帕
                        参考位置:毛里求斯路易港偏东方向约3220公里的洋面上
                        变化过程:过去24小时,“考特尼”由16级减弱到11级
                        预报结论:“考特尼”将以每小时10公里左右的速度向偏南方向移动,强度逐渐减弱。

                        图1 卫星监测图像(北京时间2025年03月31日14时00分)


                        IP属地:福建752楼2025-03-31 17:01
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                          IP属地:天津来自Android客户端753楼2025-03-31 18:00
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                            TPXS11 PGTW 311150
                            A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (COURTNEY)
                            B. 31/1130Z
                            C. 24.53S
                            D. 88.90E
                            E. FOUR/GK2A
                            F. T2.5/3.0/W1.5/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
                            G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                            H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
                            WITH COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF 2.5. MET
                            AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
                            I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                            31/0732Z 24.08S 88.50E ATMS
                            PETERSEN


                            IP属地:福建754楼2025-03-31 20:00
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                              TXXS21 KNES 311208
                              TCSSIO
                              A. 27S (COURTNEY)
                              B. 31/1115Z
                              C. 24.6S
                              D. 89.0E
                              E. THREE/MET-9
                              F. T2.0/3.0
                              G. IR/EIR/VIS
                              H. REMARKS...CIRCULAR, TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUDS LINES AND A CENTER LESS
                              THAN 75 NAUTICAL MILES FROM A SMALL COLD OVERCAST RESULTS IN A DT OF
                              2.0. PT AGREES. MET IS 2.5 BASED ON A 24 HOUR RAPID WEAKENING TREND. THE
                              FT IS BASED ON THE PT DUE TO FLUCTUATING CONVECTION.
                              I. ADDL POSITIONS
                              NIL
                              ...LINER


                              IP属地:福建755楼2025-03-31 20:15
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