TPXS11 PGTW 292058
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (COURTNEY)
B. 29/2040Z
C. 19.62S
D. 89.07E
E. TWO/GK2A
F. T6.0/7.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. MG EYE SURROUNDED BY B YIELDS AN E#
AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 5.5. MET/PT YIELDS 6.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
29/1752Z 19.43S 89.38E GPMI
DESSINO

眼糊了

回顾一下眼堵的过程

TXXS21 KNES 292358
TCSSIO
A. 27S (COURTNEY)
B. 29/2330Z
C. 20.1S
D. 89.2E
E. THREE/MET-9
F. T5.0/6.0
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/GMI/SSMIS
H. REMARKS...LLCC EMBEDDED IN BLACK YIELDS A DT OF 5.0. THE MET IS
5.5 BASED ON A SLOW WEAKENING TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS
5.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE PT SINCE THERE WAS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE
PRECISE LLCC POSITION AND A PATTERN ADJUSTMENT WAS MADE.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
29/1754Z 19.3S 89.4E GMI
29/2122Z 19.7S 88.9E SSMIS
...COVERDALE

颜值巅峰

TPXS11 PGTW 300004
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (COURTNEY)
B. 29/2340Z
C. 20.09S
D. 88.86E
E. FOUR/GK2A
F. T6.0/7.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. LG EYE SURROUNDED BY B YIELDS
AN E# AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 5.5. MET YIELDS 5.0. PT YIELDS
5.5. DBO CONSTRAINTS.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
29/1922Z 19.77S 89.23E ATMS
29/1947Z 19.65S 89.25E ATMS
DESSINO

FKIO20 FMEE 300012
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20250330/0012Z
TCAC: REUNION
TC: COURTNEY
ADVISORY NR: 2025/03
OBS PSN: 30/0000Z S2007 E08846
CB: WI 200NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL540
MOV: SW 08KT
INTST CHANGE: WKN
C: 950HPA
MAX WIND: 100KT
FCST PSN +6 HR: 30/0600Z S2058 E08813
FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 95KT
FCST PSN +12 HR: 30/1200Z S2146 E08758
FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 90KT
FCST PSN +18 HR: 30/1800Z S2245 E08806
FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 80KT
FCST PSN +24 HR: 31/0000Z S2322 E08823
FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 70KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20250330/0600Z

MFR参考SAR将12Z强度下调至110kt
A SAR PASS HAS PASSED OVER COURTNEY AT 1239UTC WITH MAXIMUM WINDSMEASURED AT 100KT. HOWEVER, STRONG CONVECTION IN THE SOUTH-WESTQUADRANT SUGGESTS THAT WINDS MAY BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN THIS QUADRANT.THE DVORAK ANALYSIS OF 12UTC CARRIED OUT BY THE RSMC GAVE WINDS AT120KT. THE BESTRACK HAS THEREFORE BEEN REVISED SLIGHTLY DOWNWARDS,WITH WINDS AT 12UTC OF 110KT.

这下加入cvz之争了

27S COURTNEY 250330 0000 20.2S 88.9E SHEM 115 946

在26°C暖舌上，眼区尚在，不过已快速冷崩，115属于JTWC扣滞后了

个人认为Chido>=Vince=C5>Zelia>Courtney

风切即将ERI