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回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风SH272025

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CMG連


IP属地:中国台湾433楼2025-03-29 14:08
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    Vince的加强模式:
    step 1
    2.6 06z:爆对流巩固对流环+吹辐散云,对流抬升顺序由先到后 问题:底层和高层眼墙都不均匀
    step 2
    2.6 09z:日落前后CDO全侧眼墙猛烈抬升,转速加快 问题:风眼未彻底清空,CDO仍有些卷绕迹象。
    2.6 12z:一定程度上解决上述问题并达到巅峰。


    IP属地:北京来自Android客户端434楼2025-03-29 14:10
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      非常好,已经可以稳125了


      IP属地:福建来自Android客户端435楼2025-03-29 14:11
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        眼温13


        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端436楼2025-03-29 14:16
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          注意,此时GK-2A倾角较大,只能拍到眼底的一小部分。此时Courtney的清空度应该已经不低。


          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端437楼2025-03-29 14:20
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            IP属地:浙江438楼2025-03-29 14:21
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              现在有125kt了,能冲击C5吗


              IP属地:山东来自Android客户端440楼2025-03-29 14:22
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                未来的极轨情况,gcomw和f18将依次通过提供高/中分辨率微波图像,红外与可见光云图则有noaa20,aqua等
                (aqua歪一些,不过有点想做暖心分析了


                IP属地:美国来自Android客户端441楼2025-03-29 14:24
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                  IP属地:河北来自Android客户端443楼2025-03-29 14:28
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                    对流环较薄,却很凝实,虽然客观分析上会吃亏,但强度不容小觑。


                    IP属地:山东444楼2025-03-29 14:28
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                      TPXS11 PGTW 290557
                      A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (COURTNEY)
                      B. 29/0530Z
                      C. 17.90S
                      D. 90.91E
                      E. ONE/GK2A
                      F. T6.0/6.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
                      G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                      H. REMARKS: 07A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY LG
                      YIELDS AN E# OF 5 ADD 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, TO YIELD A DT OF
                      6.0. MET/PT AGREES. DBO DT.
                      I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                      29/0030Z 17.67S 91.87E SSMS
                      DARLOW


                      IP属地:福建来自Android客户端445楼2025-03-29 14:29
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                        厕所:LG
                        TPXS11 PGTW 290557
                        A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (COURTNEY)
                        B. 29/0530Z
                        C. 17.90S
                        D. 90.91E
                        E. ONE/GK2A
                        F. T6.0/6.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
                        G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                        H. REMARKS: 07A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY LG
                        YIELDS AN E# OF 5 ADD 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, TO YIELD A DT OF
                        6.0. MET/PT AGREES. DBO DT.
                        I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                        29/0030Z 17.67S 91.87E SSMS
                        DARLOW


                        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端446楼2025-03-29 14:29
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                          TXXS21 KNES 290619
                          TCSSIO
                          CCA
                          A. 27S (COURTNEY)
                          B. 29/0530Z
                          C. 18.0S
                          D. 90.9E
                          E. ONE/HIMAWARI-9
                          F. T5.5/6.0
                          G. IR/EIR/VIS/SSMIS/GMI
                          H. REMARKS...COR FOR TYPO. CLOUD-FILLED OW EYE SURROUNDED BY W
                          AND EMBEDDED IN LG RESULTS IN AN E# OF 5.0 WITH +0.5 EADJ FOR A DT
                          OF 5.5. 0431Z GMI PASS SHOWED COMPACT INNER CORE WITH MOST INTENSE
                          CONVECTION W QUAD. EYE HAS BECOME MORE DISTINCT LAST SVRL HR. EQUATORIAL
                          OUTFLOW CHANNEL GOOD AND POLEWARD CHANNEL FAIR. MET AND PT=6.0. FT BASED
                          DT. SYSTEM MAY BE A BIT STRONGER THAN FT INDICATES.
                          I. ADDL POSITIONS
                          29/0031Z 17.7S 92.1E SSMIS
                          29/0431Z 17.8S 91.0E GMI
                          ...KONON


                          IP属地:福建来自Android客户端447楼2025-03-29 14:30
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                            终于争气了,又是一个高颜值风


                            IP属地:上海448楼2025-03-29 14:34
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                              继续均质化


                              IP属地:福建来自Android客户端449楼2025-03-29 14:39
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