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回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风2025-Jude

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TXXS27 KNES 152359
TCSSIO
A. 25S (JUDE)
B. 15/2330Z
C. 25.8S
D. 50.1E
E. THREE/MET-9
F. T2.0/3.0
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/PRXY
H. REMARKS...A LLCC THAT LIES LESS THEN 1/2 DEGREE FROM BUT NO GREATER
THAN 1/3 WITHIN THE EDGE OF DG CONVECTION RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.0. THE MET
IS 2.0 BASED ON A REGULARLY WEAKENING TREND IN APPARENT INTENSITY OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS ALSO 2.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET DUE TO
UNCERTAINTY IN BOTH PRECISE CENTER LOCATION AND IN HOW MUCH CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE REMAINS ACTIVE. THE DEEPEST CONVECTION NEAREST THE CENTER HAS
WARMED A FAIR AMOUNT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...HOSLEY


IP属地:福建428楼2025-03-16 08:05
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    LAST WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM DUE TO LOSS OF TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.
    FURTHER INFORMATIONS WILL BE AVAILABLE WITH THE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR
    THE HIGHT SEAS FOR METAREA VII, ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICES OF SOUTH-AFRICA (FQZA31 FAPR)


    IP属地:福建429楼2025-03-16 08:15
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      TPXS11 PGTW 160020
      A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE)
      B. 15/2330Z
      C. 25.90S
      D. 49.04E
      E. FIVE/MET9
      F. ST2.5/2.5
      G. IR/EIR
      H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
      CLASSIFICATION TECHNIQUE YIELDS ST2.5.
      I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
      SWANSON


      IP属地:福建来自Android客户端430楼2025-03-16 08:38
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        25S JUDE 250316 0000 25.9S 50.1E SHEM 50 986


        431楼2025-03-16 09:01
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          全球热带气旋监测公报
          预报:柳龙生 签发:钱奇峰 2025 年 03 月 16 日 10 时
          “祖德”变性为温带气旋
          时 间:16日08时(北京时)
          海 域:南印度洋
          命 名:“祖德”,JUDE
          中心位置:南纬26.0度、东经51.9度
          强度等级:强热带风暴
          最大风力:11级(30米/秒,相当于我国的强热带风暴级)
          中心气压:980百帕
          参考位置:法属留尼旺西南方向约670公里的洋面上
          变化过程:过去24小时,“祖德”强度维持不变
          预报结论:“祖德”已经变性为温带气旋,并将以每小时35-40公里的速度向东偏南方向快速移动,强度逐渐减弱。
          (这是关于“祖德”的最后一期监测公报)
          图1 卫星红外监测图像(北京时间2025年03月16日08时00分)


          IP属地:河南来自Android客户端432楼2025-03-16 09:50
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            IP属地:天津来自Android客户端433楼2025-03-16 10:18
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              TPXS11 PGTW 160257
              A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE)
              B. 16/0230Z
              C. 26.12S
              D. 51.39E
              E. FIVE/MET9
              F. ST2.5/2.5
              G. IR/EIR
              H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE CLASSIFICATION
              TECHNIQUE YIELDS ST2.5.
              I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
              15/2130Z 25.60S 50.40E AMS2
              16/0028Z 25.95S 51.47E GPMI
              DESSINO


              IP属地:福建来自Android客户端434楼2025-03-16 11:16
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                IP属地:天津435楼2025-03-16 13:03
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                  IP属地:青海来自Android客户端436楼2025-03-16 13:53
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                    TXXS27 KNES 160557
                    TCSSIO
                    A. 25S (JUDE)
                    B. 16/0530Z
                    C. 26.9S
                    D. 53.5E
                    E. THREE/MET-9
                    F. T1.5/2.5
                    G. IR/EIR/VIS
                    H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY CIRCULAR DEFINED CLOUD LINES LOCATED
                    LESS THAN 1.25 DEG FROM A COLD OVERCAST MEASURING OVER 1.5 DEG. DT=2.0
                    MET AND PT ARE 1.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN
                    THE POSITION OF THE LLCC.
                    I. ADDL POSITIONS
                    NIL
                    ...FISHER


                    IP属地:福建437楼2025-03-16 14:12
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                      TPXS11 PGTW 160609
                      A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE)
                      B. 16/0530Z
                      C. 26.51S
                      D. 53.19E
                      E. FIVE/MET9
                      F. ST2.5/2.5
                      G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                      H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
                      CLASSIFICATION TECHNIQUE YIELDS ST2.5.
                      I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
                      16/0028Z 25.95S 51.47E GPMI
                      16/0235Z 25.93S 52.28E SSMS
                      DESSINO


                      IP属地:福建438楼2025-03-16 14:12
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                        IP属地:青海来自Android客户端439楼2025-03-16 14:21
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                          25S JUDE 250316 0600 26.4S 53.4E SHEM 45 993


                          440楼2025-03-16 14:45
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                            SH, 25, 2025031600, , BEST, 0, 258S, 513E, 50, 986, SS,
                            SH, 25, 2025031606, , BEST, 0, 264S, 534E, 45, 993, SS,


                            IP属地:福建442楼2025-03-16 15:42
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                              巅峰勉强C2


                              IP属地:北京来自Android客户端443楼2025-03-16 15:42
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