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回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风2025-Jude

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TPXS11 PGTW 121148
A. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE)
B. 12/1130Z
C. 17.84S
D. 35.14E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE
DUE TO LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RAE


IP属地:福建271楼2025-03-12 20:15
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    复活就是胜利


    IP属地:江苏来自iPhone客户端272楼2025-03-12 20:20
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      IP属地:上海273楼2025-03-12 20:42
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        25S JUDE 250312 1200 17.9S 35.5E SHEM 25 1003


        IP属地:广东274楼2025-03-12 21:00
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          IP属地:天津275楼2025-03-12 21:32
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            IP属地:天津276楼2025-03-12 22:06
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              南下期间SST会比较充足,就是北折以后会踩到先前的坑(西南印的暖池还是太经不起耗了
              不过主流数值认为发展不起来的原因是风切


              IP属地:北京277楼2025-03-12 22:43
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                IP属地:福建278楼2025-03-12 23:10
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                  TPXS11 PGTW 121459
                  A. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE)
                  B. 12/1430Z
                  C. 18.13S
                  D. 35.19E
                  E. FIVE/MET9
                  F. N/A
                  G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                  H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE
                  DUE TO LLCC OVER LAND. LLCC IS APPROACHING THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL AND
                  IS FORECAST TO RE-INTENSIFY ONCE OVER WATER.
                  I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                  RAE


                  IP属地:福建279楼2025-03-12 23:10
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                    IP属地:福建280楼2025-03-12 23:31
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                      IP属地:上海281楼2025-03-13 00:16
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                        1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 12 (JUDE)
                        2.A POSITION 2025/03/12 AT 1800 UTC:
                        WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.9 S / 35.4 E
                        MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 7 KT
                        3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL
                        4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1003 HPA
                        5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT
                        1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
                        12H: 2025/03/13 06 UTC: 19.3 S / 37.2 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, TROPICAL
                        DEPRESSION
                        28 KT NE: 345 SE: 350 SW: 270 NW: 0
                        24H: 2025/03/13 18 UTC: 20.4 S / 39.7 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, MODERATE
                        TROPICAL STORM
                        28 KT NE: 335 SE: 205 SW: 280 NW: 280
                        34 KT NE: 140 SE: 140 SW: 185 NW: 140
                        36H: 2025/03/14 06 UTC: 22.0 S / 41.7 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
                        TROPICAL STORM
                        28 KT NE: 270 SE: 315 SW: 305 NW: 280
                        34 KT NE: 140 SE: 140 SW: 165 NW: 175
                        48H: 2025/03/14 18 UTC: 23.3 S / 43.6 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
                        TROPICAL STORM
                        28 KT NE: 0 SE: 465 SW: 260 NW: 140
                        34 KT NE: 0 SE: 285 SW: 215 NW: 95
                        60H: 2025/03/15 06 UTC: 24.0 S / 45.8 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT,
                        POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
                        28 KT NE: 0 SE: 345 SW: 360 NW: 0
                        34 KT NE: 0 SE: 270 SW: 0 NW: 0
                        72H: 2025/03/15 18 UTC: 24.4 S / 48.5 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT,
                        EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION
                        28 KT NE: 325 SE: 360 SW: 230 NW: 175
                        34 KT NE: 0 SE: 220 SW: 0 NW: 0
                        2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
                        NIL


                        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端282楼2025-03-13 04:36
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                          25S JUDE 250312 1800 18.3S 35.8E SHEM 30 1001
                          25S JUDE 250312 1200 17.9S 35.4E SHEM 30 1000


                          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端283楼2025-03-13 04:36
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                            TPXS11 PGTW 121755
                            A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE)
                            B. 12/1730Z
                            C. 18.07S
                            D. 35.97E
                            E. FIVE/MET9
                            F. N/A
                            G. IR/EIR
                            H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES
                            UNAVAILABLE DUE TO LLCC OVER LAND.
                            I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                            HUYNH


                            IP属地:广东来自Android客户端284楼2025-03-13 04:36
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                              TPXS11 PGTW 122051
                              A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE)
                              B. 12/2030Z
                              C. 18.61S
                              D. 35.81E
                              E. FIVE/MET9
                              F. N/A
                              G. IR/EIR
                              H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES
                              UNAVAILABLE DUE TO LLCC OVER LAND.
                              I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                              HUYNH


                              IP属地:广东来自Android客户端285楼2025-03-13 06:00
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