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回复:【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风SH202025

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转眼之间眼温正了


IP属地:北京69楼2025-02-24 13:48
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    LG+OW


    IP属地:辽宁来自Android客户端70楼2025-02-24 13:50
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      报点参考帧基本上WMG+LG,不知道老J怎么看这个55kt


      IP属地:北京71楼2025-02-24 13:53
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        TPXS10 PGTW 240605
        A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (BIANCA)
        B. 24/0540Z
        C. 18.96S
        D. 103.70E
        E. ONE/GK2A
        F. T5.0/5.0/D3.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
        G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
        H. REMARKS: 07A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY MG
        YIELDS AN E# OF 4.5. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR LG, TO YIELD A
        DT OF 5.0. MET YIELDS A 3.0. PT YIELDS A 3.5. DBO DT. BROKE
        CONSTRAINTS OF MORE THAN 1.0 T# CHANGE PER 6 HOURS, 1.5 PER 12
        HOURS AND 2.5 PER 24 HOURS DUE TO RAPID DEVELOPMENT.
        I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
        24/0129Z 18.67S 104.30E MMHS
        PETERSEN


        IP属地:福建72楼2025-02-24 14:15
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          CDO爆出来一点点CDG对流


          IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端73楼2025-02-24 14:23
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            SH, 20, 2025022400, , BEST, 0, 184S, 1046E, 65, 995, TY,
            SH, 20, 2025022406, , BEST, 0, 190S, 1036E, 75, 985, TY,


            IP属地:福建75楼2025-02-24 14:43
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              IDW24000
              Australian Bureau of Meteorology
              Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
              TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
              Issued at 2:42 pm WST on Monday 24 February 2025
              Tropical Cyclone Bianca (Category 2) was located at 2:00 pm AWST near 19.1S
              103.8E, that is 1130 km west northwest of Exmouth and 1210 km west northwest of
              Carnarvon and moving southwest at 20 kilometres per hour.
              Tropical Cyclone Bianca (21U) is located in the Indian Ocean, well to the
              west-northwest of Exmouth, and is moving towards the southwest. Bianca, a
              category 2 system, continues to strengthen and is likely to become a severe
              tropical cyclone. On Tuesday, it is expected to track south-southwest,
              remaining well offshore from the Western Australian coast. By Wednesday, it is
              forecast to begin weakening.
              No direct impacts are expected at any Australian mainland or Island communities.
              The next Information Bulletin will be issued at 9:00 pm AWST Monday 24 February.


              IP属地:福建76楼2025-02-24 14:45
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                TXXS24 KNES 240637
                TCSSIO
                A. 20S (BIANCA)
                B. 24/0530Z
                C. 19.1S
                D. 103.6E
                E. ONE/HIMAWARI-9
                F. T4.5/4.5
                G. IR/EIR/VIS
                H. REMARKS...OW EYE SURROUNDED BY LG RING AND EMBEDDED IN MG YIELDS A
                DT OF 4.5. THE MET IS 4.5 BASED ON A 24HR RAPID DEVELOPING TREND. THE
                PT IS 4.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
                I. ADDL POSITIONS
                NIL
                ...GATLING


                IP属地:福建77楼2025-02-24 14:46
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                  对流爆得还算均匀,眼已有不错的清空度,中高空环境是不错的


                  IP属地:北京78楼2025-02-24 15:00
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                    东北侧断了



                    IP属地:湖南79楼2025-02-24 15:35
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                      IP属地:福建80楼2025-02-24 16:48
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                        眼内WMG但是东侧裂开了VIS大骗子



                        IP属地:上海81楼2025-02-24 16:50
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                          全球热带气旋监测公报
                          预报:宋佳凝 签发:向纯怡 2025 年 02 月 24 日 18 时
                          “比安卡”向南偏西方向移动
                          时 间:24日14时(北京时)
                          海 域:澳大利亚附近海域
                          命 名:“比安卡”,BIANCA
                          中心位置:南纬19.1度、东经103.8度
                          强度等级:二级热带气旋
                          最大风力:11级(30米/秒,相当于我国的强热带风暴级)
                          中心气压:989百帕
                          参考位置:科科斯群岛东南方向约1070公里的洋面上
                          变化过程:过去24小时,“比安卡”由8级加强到11级
                          预报结论:“比安卡”将以每小时15公里左右的速度向南偏西方向移动,强度变化不大。

                          图3 卫星红外监测图像(北京时间2025年02月24日14时00分)


                          IP属地:福建82楼2025-02-24 16:51
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                            IP属地:广东83楼2025-02-24 17:07
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                              TPXS10 PGTW 240903
                              A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (BIANCA)
                              B. 24/0830Z
                              C. 19.28S
                              D. 103.32E
                              E. ONE/GK2A
                              F. T4.0/5.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: W1.0/03HRS
                              G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                              H. REMARKS: 03A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY OW YIELDS AN
                              E# AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 4.0. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
                              I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                              PETERSEN


                              IP属地:福建84楼2025-02-24 17:11
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