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回复:【讨论旋风】南太平洋旋风SH152025

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IP属地:福建76楼2025-02-04 21:58
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    TPPS11 PGTW 041457
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (E OF NEW CALEDONIA)
    B. 04/1430Z
    C. 21.16S
    D. 172.48E
    E. FIVE/GK2A
    F. T1.0/1.0/W1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
    G. IR/EIR
    H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD
    LINES WITH OVERCAST LESS THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF 1.0. MET AND
    PT AGREE. DBO DT.
    I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
    04/1001Z 21.52S 172.22E MMHS
    RAE


    IP属地:福建77楼2025-02-04 23:01
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      15P FIFTEEN 250204 1800 21.5S 173.4E SHEM 35 998


      IP属地:广东来自Android客户端78楼2025-02-05 04:41
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        TPPS11 PGTW 041809
        A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (E OF NEW CALEDONIA)
        B. 04/1730Z
        C. 21.19S
        D. 173.19E
        E. FIVE/GK2A
        F. T1.0/1.0/W0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
        G. IR/EIR
        H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD
        LINES LOCATED WITHIN 75NM OF COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 1.0. MET
        AND PT YIELD 1.0.
        I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
        SWANSON


        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端79楼2025-02-05 04:41
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          TPPS11 PGTW 042103
          A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (E OF NEW CALEDONIA)
          B. 04/2030Z
          C. 21.19S
          D. 173.57E
          E. FIVE/GK2A
          F. T1.0/1.0/W0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
          G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
          H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD
          LINES LOCATED WITHIN 75NM OF COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 1.0. MET
          AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
          I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
          SWANSON


          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端80楼2025-02-05 06:00
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            TXPS41 PHFO 042343
            TCSSP1
            SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
            NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
            2341 UTC TUE FEB 04 2025
            A. TROPICAL CYCLONE (05F/15P)
            B. 04/2300Z
            C. 21.2S
            D. 174.0E
            E. HIMAWARI-9
            F. T1.5/2.0/S0.0/24 HRS
            G. VIS/IR/EIR
            H. REMARKS...SHEAR 50 NM FROM DG YIELD A DT OF 2.0. PT IS 1.0 AND
            MET IS 1.0. FT BASED ON DT.
            I. ADDL POSITIONS
            NONE.
            $$


            IP属地:福建81楼2025-02-05 08:09
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              TPPS11 PGTW 050012
              A. SUBTROPICAL STORM 15P (E OF NEW CALEDONIA)
              B. 04/2330Z
              C. 20.98S
              D. 174.09E
              E. THREE/GK2A
              F. ST1.5/1.5
              G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
              H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
              CLASSIFICATION TECHNIQUE YIELDS ST1.5.
              I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
              SWANSON


              IP属地:福建82楼2025-02-05 08:20
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                SH, 15, 2025020500, , BEST, 0, 216S, 1743E, 35, 998, TS, 34, NEQ, 75, 90, 45, 55, 1006, 130, 30, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, ,


                IP属地:广东83楼2025-02-05 08:21
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                  TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05F CENTRE [1000HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 21.3S 173.9E AT
                  042100UTC. POSITION FAIR BASED ON HIMAWARI-9 VIS/IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND
                  PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. TD05F MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS.
                  CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE TO WARM AND SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF LLCC. ORGANISATION
                  REMAINS POOR. THE SYSTEM REMAINS EMBEDDED IN THE SPCZ WITH AN ELONGATED CENTRE.
                  TD05F LIES IN AN AREA OF HIGH SHEAR, MODERATE UPPER DIVERGENCE WITH GOOD UPPER
                  DIVERGENCE TO THE EAST OF THE LLCC. CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS EXTEND UP TO 700HPA.
                  SST IS AROUND 27 DEGREES CELSIUS. TD05F IS BEING STEERED IN AND EAST TO
                  SOUTHEAST TRAJECTORY ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED
                  TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM.
                  GLOBAL MODELS MOVE IT EASTWARDS WITH NO INTENSIFICATION.
                  POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24-48
                  HOURS IS LOW.
                  THIS WILL BE THE LAST TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY FOR TD05F UNLESS IT
                  RE-INTENSIFIES.


                  IP属地:福建84楼2025-02-05 08:25
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                    裸,太艰难了


                    IP属地:广东来自iPhone客户端85楼2025-02-05 10:26
                    收起回复


                      IP属地:广东86楼2025-02-05 11:06
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                        TPPS11 PGTW 050340
                        A. SUBTROPICAL STORM 15P (E OF NEW CALEDONIA)
                        B. 05/0230Z
                        C. 21.07S
                        D. 174.59E
                        E. THREE/HMWRI9
                        F. ST1.5/1.5
                        G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
                        H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
                        CLASSIFICATION TECHNIQUE YIELDS ST1.5.
                        I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                        NEVAREZ


                        IP属地:福建87楼2025-02-05 11:42
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                          TXPS41 PHFO 050549
                          TCSSP1
                          SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
                          NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
                          0518 UTC WED FEB 05 2025
                          A. TROPICAL CYCLONE (05F/15P)
                          B. 05/0500Z
                          C. 20.9S
                          D. 174.8E
                          E. HIMAWARI-9
                          F. TX.X/X.X/X.X
                          G. VIS/IR/EIR
                          H. REMARKS...IR AND VIS IMAGERY SHOW A COMPLETELY EXPOSED AND
                          ELONGATED LLCC THAT IS WELL REMOVED FROM ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.
                          THIS SYSTEM IS TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL FIX
                          FROM CPHC UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.
                          I. ADDL POSITIONS NONE.
                          $$
                          SHIGESATO


                          IP属地:福建88楼2025-02-05 13:51
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                            15P FIFTEEN 250205 0000 21.2S 174.2E SHEM 35 998
                            15P FIFTEEN 250204 1800 21.4S 173.2E SHEM 40 998


                            IP属地:广东89楼2025-02-05 14:00
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                              15P FIFTEEN 250205 0600 20.9S 175.0E SHEM 35 1000


                              IP属地:广东90楼2025-02-05 14:30
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