一直围不上，雨带缠身，还是快点卷好

如果真是马斯克林高压摧残弱小无助的旋风Taliah，那可要进入低海温区小幅度增强了

IDW24000
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 2:49 pm WST on Tuesday 4 February 2025
Severe Tropical Cyclone Taliah (Category 3) was located at 2:00 pm AWST near
15.5S 111.0E, that is 790 km north northwest of Exmouth and 800 km southeast of
Christmas Island and moving west at 18 kilometres per hour.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Taliah lies well to the northwest of the Pilbara coast
and is moving to the west. Taliah is likely to remain a severe tropical cyclone
in the coming days. There is high confidence in the track continuing to the
west and remaining well away from the Western Australian coast.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Taliah will not directly impact the Australian mainland
nor any island communities.
The next Information Bulletin will be issued at 9:00 pm AWST Tuesday 04
February.

TPXS13 PGTW 040646
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH)
B. 04/0610Z
C. 15.46S
D. 111.12E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. T4.5/4.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 15A/PBO TIGHTLY CURVED BNDG/ANMTN. EYE WITH A BAND
WIDTH OF 85NM YIELDS AN E# OF 5.0. SUBTRACTED 1.0 FOR A RAGGED EYE
AND ADDED 1.0 FOR BF TO YIELD A DT OF 5.0. MET YIELDS 4.0. PT
YIELDS 4.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
NEVAREZ

14S TALIAH 250204 0600 15.5S 110.9E SHEM 85 972

无感

这样下去能不能挺到西南印都是问题，只能目送前面那位远行了

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：刘达 签发：向纯怡 2025 年 02 月 04 日 18 时
“塔利亚”向偏西方向移动
时 间：4日14时（北京时）
海 域：澳大利亚附近海域
命 名：“塔利亚”，TALIAH
中心位置：南纬15.5度、东经111.0度
强度等级：三级热带气旋
最大风力：12级（35米/秒，相当于我国的台风级）
中心气压：969百帕
参考位置：澳大利亚西澳大利亚州卡拉萨西北方向约850公里的洋面上
变化过程： 过去24小时，“塔利亚”由10级加强到12级
预报结论：“塔利亚” 将以每小时20公里左右的速度向偏西方向移动，强度还将略有加强增强。

图1 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年02月04日14时00分）

FY-4B
南侧围上来了

这玩意儿最好也就165了。这还是风切基本远超预期的低才行。

WTF