TXXS22 KNES 041802
TCSSIO
A. 13S (VINCE)
B. 04/1700Z
C. 18.2S
D. 88.2E
E. ONE/MET-9
F. T4.5/5.5
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...RAGGED LG EYE SURROUNDED BY B AND EMBEDDED IN LG RESULTS
IN AN E# OF 5.0 WITH -0.5 EADJ FOR A DT OF 4.5. MET=3.5 AND PT=4.0. FT
BASED DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...KONON
=

TPXS12 PGTW 042053 COR
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (VINCE)
B. 04/2031Z
C. 18.30S
D. 87.42E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T4.5/5.0/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 46A/PBO EMBD CNTR/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED IN LG YIELDS A
DT OF 4.5. MET AND PT YIELD 4.0. DBO DT. COR FOR ADDITIONAL
POSITION.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
SWANSON

薨切好大，现在应该是风切最高值即将开始降，Vince也终于成功整出来一个眼
风切在降但依然不算小，后期还要波动上升，而且这位现在正在面对大概10kt中层风切，二巅之路应该会比较缓慢（？
（但也希望Vince加油）

TXXS22 KNES 042358
TCSSIO
A. 13S (VINCE)
B. 04/2300Z
C. 18.5S
D. 86.9E
E. ONE/MET-9
F. T5.0/5.0
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/PRXY
H. REMARKS...MG EYE SURROUNDED BY B AND EMBEDDED IN LG YIELDS A DT
OF 5.0. THE MET IS 4.5 BASED ON A 24HR SLOW WEAKENING TREND. THE PT IS
4.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...GATLING

TPXS12 PGTW 042354
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (VINCE)
B. 04/2330Z
C. 18.51S
D. 86.74E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T4.5/5.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 46A/PBO EMBD CNTR/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED IN LG YIELDS A
DT OF 4.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
SWANSON

FKIO20 FMEE 050002
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20250205/0002Z
TCAC: REUNION
TC: VINCE
ADVISORY NR: 2025/03
OBS PSN: 05/0000Z S1836 E08656
CB: WI 110NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL520
MOV: WSW 11KT
INTST CHANGE: NC
C: 978HPA
MAX WIND: 70KT
FCST PSN +6 HR: 05/0600Z S1854 E08544
FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 70KT
FCST PSN +12 HR: 05/1200Z S1909 E08445
FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 70KT
FCST PSN +18 HR: 05/1800Z S1922 E08350
FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 70KT
FCST PSN +24 HR: 06/0000Z S1934 E08254
FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 75KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20250205/0600Z=

SH, 13, 2025020500, , BEST, 0, 187S, 869E, 95, 963, TY, 34, NEQ, 65, 85, 115, 85, 1006, 270, 12, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, VINCE, ,
SH, 13, 2025020500, , BEST, 0, 187S, 869E, 95, 963, TY, 50, NEQ, 30, 30, 30, 25, 1006, 270, 12, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, VINCE, ,
SH, 13, 2025020500, , BEST, 0, 187S, 869E, 95, 963, TY, 64, NEQ, 15, 15, 15, 15, 1006, 270, 12, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, VINCE, ,

SH, 13, 2025020500, , BEST, 0, 187S, 869E, 90, 967, TY, 34, NEQ, 65, 85, 115, 85, 1006, 270, 12, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, VINCE, ,
SH, 13, 2025020500, , BEST, 0, 187S, 869E, 90, 967, TY, 50, NEQ, 30, 30, 30, 25, 1006, 270, 12, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, VINCE, ,
SH, 13, 2025020500, , BEST, 0, 187S, 869E, 90, 967, TY, 64, NEQ, 15, 15, 15, 15, 1006, 270, 12, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, VINCE, ,

FY-4B
西侧薄弱，可能还有风切影响

目前处于风切峰值期