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【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风2025-Elvis

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FKIO20 FMEE 290004
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20250129/0004Z
TCAC: REUNION
TC: ELVIS
ADVISORY NR: 2025/01
OBS PSN: 29/0000Z S2503 E04247
CB: WI 430NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL575
MOV: SW 04KT
INTST CHANGE: INTSF
C: 995HPA
MAX WIND: 35KT
FCST PSN +6 HR: 29/0600Z S2449 E04214
FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 40KT
FCST PSN +12 HR: 29/1200Z S2437 E04154
FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 40KT
FCST PSN +18 HR: 29/1800Z S2429 E04157
FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 40KT
FCST PSN +24 HR: 30/0000Z S2437 E04215
FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 35KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20250129/0600Z=


IP属地:广东来自Android客户端1楼2025-01-29 08:10回复
    2


    IP属地:上海来自Android客户端2楼2025-01-29 08:11
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      目前bd云图


      IP属地:四川来自Android客户端4楼2025-01-29 08:27
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        IP属地:江苏来自iPhone客户端5楼2025-01-29 08:29
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          IP属地:福建6楼2025-01-29 08:34
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            1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 6 (ELVIS)
            2.A POSITION 2025/01/29 AT 0000 UTC:
            WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.1 S / 42.8 E
            MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 4 KT
            3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.5/2.5/S 0.0/6 H
            4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 995 HPA
            5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 35 KT
            1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
            12H: 2025/01/29 12 UTC: 24.6 S / 41.9 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
            TROPICAL STORM
            28 KT NE: 95 SE: 295 SW: 470 NW: 230
            34 KT NE: 65 SE: 175 SW: 185 NW: 55
            24H: 2025/01/30 00 UTC: 24.6 S / 42.3 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, MODERATE
            TROPICAL STORM
            28 KT NE: 120 SE: 185 SW: 285 NW: 185
            34 KT NE: 85 SE: 95 SW: 95 NW: 0
            36H: 2025/01/30 12 UTC: 26.1 S / 43.4 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
            TROPICAL STORM
            28 KT NE: 130 SE: 165 SW: 260 NW: 230
            34 KT NE: 85 SE: 85 SW: 0 NW: 65
            48H: 2025/01/31 00 UTC: 28.2 S / 45.7 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, MODERATE
            TROPICAL STORM
            28 KT NE: 175 SE: 195 SW: 295 NW: 240
            34 KT NE: 100 SE: 100 SW: 85 NW: 65
            60H: 2025/01/31 12 UTC: 30.4 S / 48.2 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, MODERATE
            TROPICAL STORM
            28 KT NE: 195 SE: 185 SW: 280 NW: 230
            34 KT NE: 110 SE: 95 SW: 75 NW: 65
            72H: 2025/02/01 00 UTC: 32.1 S / 50.8 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT,
            POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
            28 KT NE: 220 SE: 250 SW: 205 NW: 250
            34 KT NE: 120 SE: 140 SW: 100 NW: 75
            2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
            96H: 2025/02/02 00 UTC: 36.2 S / 55.9 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT,
            POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
            28 KT NE: 445 SE: 360 SW: 270 NW: 390
            34 KT NE: 230 SE: 215 SW: 130 NW: 165
            120H: 2025/02/03 00 UTC: 41.0 S / 63.4 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT,
            POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
            28 KT NE: 470 SE: 285 SW: 345 NW: 425
            34 KT NE: 215 SE: 165 SW: 120 NW: 140


            IP属地:广东7楼2025-01-29 08:35
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              IP属地:青海来自Android客户端8楼2025-01-29 08:44
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                IP属地:青海来自Android客户端9楼2025-01-29 08:45
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                  92S INVEST 250129 0000 26.0S 44.1E SHEM 30 998


                  IP属地:广东10楼2025-01-29 08:45
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                    TPXS10 PGTW 282144
                    A. SUBTROPICAL DISTURBANCE 92S (SW OF MADAGASCAR)
                    B. 28/2100Z
                    C. 25.42S
                    D. 43.67E
                    E. FIVE/MET9
                    F. ST1.5/1.5
                    G. IR/EIR
                    H. REMARKS: 46A/PBO EMBD CNTR/ANMTN. SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
                    CLASSIFICATION TECHNIQUE YIELDS ST1.5. INTENSITY ESTIMATE MAY NOT
                    BE REPRESENTATIVE DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND.
                    I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                    NEVAREZ


                    IP属地:福建11楼2025-01-29 08:50
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                      IP属地:青海来自Android客户端12楼2025-01-29 08:53
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                        怎么给这个副热命名了


                        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端14楼2025-01-29 08:57
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                          TPXS10 PGTW 290037
                          A. SUBTROPICAL DISTURBANCE 92S (SW OF MADAGASCAR)
                          B. 28/2345Z
                          C. 25.65S
                          D. 43.75E
                          E. FIVE/MET9
                          F. ST1.5/1.5
                          G. IR/EIR
                          H. REMARKS: 46A/PBO EMBD CNTR/ANMTN. SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
                          CLASSIFICATION TECHNIQUE YIELDS ST1.5. INTENSITY ESTIMATE MAY NOT
                          BE REPRESENTATIVE DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND.
                          I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                          NEVAREZ


                          IP属地:广东15楼2025-01-29 09:00
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                            TXXS21 KNES 290056
                            TCSSIO
                            A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (92S)
                            B. 28/2330Z
                            C. 23.5S
                            D. 42.6E
                            E. FIVE/MET-9
                            F. EXTRATROPICAL
                            G. IR/EIR/SWIR/PRXY
                            H. REMARKS...92S APPEARS TO HAVE OPENED UP INTO A TROUGH AND IS
                            EXHIBITING FEATURES THAT ARE FRONTAL IN NATURE. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL
                            BULLETIN UNLESS THE SYSTEM IS DEEMED TO HAVE REGAINED FULL TROPICAL
                            CHARACTERISTICS.
                            I. ADDL POSITIONS
                            NIL
                            ...HOSLEY


                            IP属地:广东16楼2025-01-29 09:00
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                              IP属地:青海来自Android客户端17楼2025-01-29 09:02
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