TXPS41 PHFO 101127 TCSSP1 SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1127 UTC FRI JAN 10 2025 A. TROPICAL CYCLONE PITA (04F/98P) B. 10/1100Z C. 18.5S D. 172.2W E. GOES-18 F. T2.5/2.5/D1.5/24HRS G. IR/EIR H. REMARKS...CONVECTION WRAPS 0.40 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. PT AND MET AGREE. FT BASED ON DT. I. ADDL POSITIONS NONE. $$ JELSEMA
TPPS10 PGTW 101245 A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 98P (PITA) B. 10/1130Z C. 18.07S D. 172.24W E. FIVE/GOES18 F. T1.5/1.5 STT: S0.0/03HRS G. IR/EIR H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .3 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 1.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT. I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE SWANSON
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A2 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 101314 UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE PITA CENTRE 995HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4S 172.5W AT 101200 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HR HIMAWARI EIR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. CYCLONE MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 35 KNOTS. EXPECT WINDS ABOVE 33 KNOTS WITHIN 170 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 100 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 100 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT AND WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT NEAR THE LLCC WITH PRIMARY BAND TRYING TO WRAP ONTO SUPPOSED LLCC FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE SYSTEM IS IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE AND OUTFLOW. ORGANISATION HAS SLIGHTLY IMPROVED. SST IS AROUND 28 DEGREES CELSIUS. DVORAK ANALYSIS IS BASED ON CURVED PATTERN WITH DT OF 2.5, DEVELOPING TREND WHICH GIVES A MET OF 3.0. PAT AGREES WITH MET. FT BASED ON PT, THUS YIELDS T3.0/2.5/D1.0/24HRS. FORECASTS : AT 12 HRS VALID AT 110000 UTC 19.2S 169.1W MOV AT KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 24 HRS VALID AT 111200 UTC 19.8S 165.7W MOV AT KT WITH 45 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE OUTLOOK : AT 36 HRS VALID AT 120000 UTC 20.6S 162.3W MOV AT KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 48 HRS VALID AT 121200 UTC 21.1S 159.3W MOV AT KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON PITA WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 102000 UTC.
TXPS26 KNES 101348 TCSWSP CCA A. PITA (98P) B. 10/1130Z C. 18.2S D. 171.2E E. THREE/GOES-W F. T3.0/3.0 G. IR/EIR/SWIR H. REMARKS...COR FOR RI/STLT USED. 8/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.5. SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED LAST 6 HR. 0940Z GMI PASS SHOWED SOLID INNER CORE BANDING. 6 HR AVG GIVES A DT OF 3.1 WHICH JUSTIFIES BREAKING CONSTRAINTS. MINIATURE TC. POLEWARD UPR-LVL OUTFLOW CHANNEL EXCELLENT. MET=1.5 AND PT=2.0. FT BASED ON 6 HR AVG DT. I. ADDL POSITIONS NIL ...KONON
TPPS10 PGTW 101541 A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 98P (PITA) B. 10/1430Z C. 18.67S D. 170.13W E. FIVE/GOES18 F. T1.5/1.5 STT: S0.0/03HRS G. IR/EIR H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .3 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 1.5. MET AND PT YIELD 1.5. DBO DT. I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE SWANSON
TXPS41 PHFO 101723 TCSSP1 SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1715 UTC FRI JAN 10 2025 A. TROPICAL CYCLONE PITA (04F/98P) B. 10/1700Z C. 19.1S D. 169.7W E. GOES-18 F. T3.0/3.0/D1.5/24HRS G. IR/EIR H. REMARKS...CONVECTION WRAPS 0.80 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 3.5. MET IS 3.0 AND PT IS 4.0. FT BASED ON DT WITH CONSTRAINTS HOLDING TO 3.0. I. ADDL POSITIONS NONE. $$ FOSTER
TPPS10 PGTW 101749 A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 98P (PITA) B. 10/1730Z C. 18.94S D. 170.50W E. FIVE/GOES18 F. T2.0/2.0/D0.5/18HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS G. IR/EIR H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS 0.35 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS 1.5. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT. I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE DESSINO