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ANOTHER SHALLOW LOW PRESSURE [1003 HPA] SYSTEM WAS ANALYSED NEAR15.5S 174.4E AT 080600UTC. CURRENTLY, THE SYSTEM IS ELONGATED ALONGSPCZ IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE AND GOODOUTFLOW. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT OVER SUPPOSED LLCC.ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR. SST IS AROUND 29 DEGREES CELSIUS.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THIS SYSTEM AND MOVE IT NORTHEASTWARDSINITIALLY AND THEN SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION LIKELY INTHE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICALDISTURBANCE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THENEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THIS SYSTEM AND MOVE IT NORTHEASTWARDSINITIALLY AND THEN SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION LIKELY INTHE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICALDISTURBANCE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THENEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.
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