核心规整很多

前方小岛15Z 海压998.8

偷改
04S CHIDO 241211 1200 10.5S 57.5E SHEM 100 967
04S CHIDO 241211 0600 10.5S 58.4E SHEM 85 981

嘶.....

04S CHIDO 241211 1800 10.4S 56.7E SHEM 120 945

1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 4 (CHIDO)
2.A POSITION 2024/12/11 AT 1800 UTC:
WITHIN 10 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.4 S / 56.7 E
MOVEMENT: WEST 8 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 5.5/5.5/D 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 952 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 95 KT
1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2024/12/12 06 UTC: 10.5 S / 54.7 E, VENT MAX= 110 KT, INTENSE
TROPICAL CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 120 SE: 195 SW: 195 NW: 110
34 KT NE: 95 SE: 95 SW: 120 NW: 85
48 KT NE: 55 SE: 55 SW: 55 NW: 55
64 KT NE: 35 SE: 45 SW: 45 NW: 45
24H: 2024/12/12 18 UTC: 10.8 S / 52.7 E, VENT MAX= 100 KT, INTENSE
TROPICAL CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 110 SE: 195 SW: 195 NW: 130
34 KT NE: 85 SE: 95 SW: 120 NW: 100
48 KT NE: 55 SE: 55 SW: 55 NW: 55
64 KT NE: 45 SE: 45 SW: 45 NW: 35
36H: 2024/12/13 06 UTC: 11.2 S / 50.7 E, VENT MAX= 095 KT, INTENSE
TROPICAL CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 120 SE: 185 SW: 185 NW: 130
34 KT NE: 95 SE: 85 SW: 120 NW: 95
48 KT NE: 55 SE: 55 SW: 55 NW: 55
64 KT NE: 45 SE: 35 SW: 35 NW: 35
48H: 2024/12/13 18 UTC: 11.8 S / 48.9 E, VENT MAX= 080 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 110 SE: 165 SW: 130 NW: 100
34 KT NE: 85 SE: 75 SW: 100 NW: 75
48 KT NE: 45 SE: 45 SW: 55 NW: 45
64 KT NE: 35 SE: 35 SW: 45 NW: 35
60H: 2024/12/14 06 UTC: 12.6 S / 46.7 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 100 SE: 150 SW: 130 NW: 95
34 KT NE: 75 SE: 75 SW: 95 NW: 65
48 KT NE: 45 SE: 55 SW: 45 NW: 45
64 KT NE: 35 SE: 35 SW: 35 NW: 35
72H: 2024/12/14 18 UTC: 13.3 S / 44.4 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 100 SE: 175 SW: 150 NW: 95
34 KT NE: 75 SE: 85 SW: 100 NW: 65
48 KT NE: 45 SE: 55 SW: 45 NW: 45
64 KT NE: 35 SE: 35 SW: 35 NW: 35
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2024/12/15 18 UTC: 14.4 S / 39.3 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 195 SW: 150 NW: 0
34 KT NE: 0 SE: 100 SW: 0 NW: 0
120H: 2024/12/16 18 UTC: 16.2 S / 34.7 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, OVERLAND
DEPRESSION

TPXS11 PGTW 111809
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CHIDO)
B. 11/1730Z
C. 10.42S
D. 56.77E
E. ONE/MET9
F. T5.5/5.5/D2.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. OW EYE SURROUNDED BY LG YIELDS AN E#
OF 5.0. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR B, TO YIELD A DT OF 5.5. MET
YIELDS 5.0. PT YIELDS 5.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
11/1402Z 10.32S 57.23E SSMS
DESSINO

TXXS29 KNES 111827
TCSSIO
A. 04S (CHIDO)
B. 11/1730Z
C. 10.4S
D. 56.8E
E. ONE/MET-9
F. T5.5/5.5
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...OW EYE SURROUNDED BY B BUT EMBEDDED IN LG YIELDS A DT OF 5.5
AFTER ADDING 0.5 FOR THE EYE ADJUSTMENT. THE MET AND PT ARE 5.5 BASED ON A
RAPID DEVELOPMENT TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...COVERDALE

倾角？

TPXS11 PGTW 112050
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CHIDO)
B. 11/2030Z
C. 10.49S
D. 56.20E
E. ONE/MET9
F. T5.5/5.5/D1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. OW EYE SURROUNDED BY LG YIELDS AN E#
OF 5.0. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR B, TO YIELD A DT OF 5.5.
MET/PT AGREES. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
11/1729Z 10.38S 56.70E MMHS
DESSINO

路径和2019Kenneth很像 但是南印六月莫桑比克一手登陆还是比较少见的