是的，加海大飓风破产了

95L INVEST 241017 1800 15.9N 82.0W ATL 20 1007

新的扰动出现啦。

95L INVEST 241018 0000 16.5N 82.5W ATL 25 1005

Western Caribbean Sea (AL95):
Satellite images show a broad area of low pressure over the western
Caribbean Sea is gradually becoming better defined, and nearby buoy
observations indicate surface pressures are falling. The associated
shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday, and
environmental conditions appear conducive for some additional
development over the next couple of days. A short-lived tropical
depression or storm could form before the system moves inland over
Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday. Regardless
of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of
Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

AL, 95, 2024101806, , BEST, 0, 169N, 836W, 25, 1005, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 190, 120, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 034,

Western Caribbean Sea (AL95):
Widespread showers and thunderstorms continue across the
northwestern Caribbean Sea in association with a broad area of low
pressure that is gradually becoming better defined to the north of
eastern Honduras. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some
additional development over the next day or two, and a short-lived
tropical depression or storm could form before the system moves
inland over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across
portions of Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

如果这时候大西这时候来一个比Milton的货，那西太不是要麻木啦

感觉还可以，说不定又来一个超预期发展。

重铸北大荣光，吾辈义不容辞