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AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.9N 110.8E, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SINGAPORE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING OBSCURED BY PERSISTENT FLARING CONVECTION. A 220627Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE CAPTURED FORMATIVE BANDS OF CONVECTION ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES 99W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOT) VWS OFFSET BY GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 99W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND, THOUGH OVERALL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE, THE LACK OF A DISTINCT, CONSOLIDATED LLCC AT THIS TIME WILL SERVE TO LIMIT THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 17 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.9N 110.8E, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SINGAPORE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING OBSCURED BY PERSISTENT FLARING CONVECTION. A 220627Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE CAPTURED FORMATIVE BANDS OF CONVECTION ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES 99W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOT) VWS OFFSET BY GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 99W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND, THOUGH OVERALL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE, THE LACK OF A DISTINCT, CONSOLIDATED LLCC AT THIS TIME WILL SERVE TO LIMIT THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 17 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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44楼2023-11-22 19:57
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