60/90
1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms within a couple of hundred
miles of the coast of southwestern Mexico are associated with an
elongated area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by midweek while
it moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just
offshore the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.


