TXNT28 KNES 101203 TCSNTL A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (94L) B. 10/1145Z C. 13.1N D. 44.9W E. THREE/GOES-E F. T1.0/1.5/S0.0/24HRS G. IR/EIR/VIS H. REMARKS...CURVED BANDING WRAPS .25 FOR A DT OF 1.0. MET AND PT AGREE. FT IS BASED ON DT. I. ADDL POSITIONS NIL ...VELASCO
WTNT21 KNGU 101200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.7N 44.8W TO 15.0N 50.6W WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 101045Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 48.0W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER DEFINED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND ARE DEVELOPING IN THE FORM OF SPIRAL RAIN BANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KT. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 111200Z.//