这两天北方东路冷空气源源不断向我国中东部地区输送大量大风和干燥气团,冷空气也给厦门带来干燥和大风天气在4夜里极端最低气温一路打压至20度水平.预计未来冷空气也将开始暂时告一段落,虽说今天傍晚还将有一股新冷空气东移扩散下来不过基本上以大风为主.考虑到副热带高压潮湿地区依然位于台湾东部洋面上水汽效应为5%因此基本是多云为主.
国庆过后冷高压全面撤走,气温开始回升至21~31度水平上下.不过本月依然没有降水出现只是在10夜里由于低层湿度略有增加高空聚集着较弱水汽同时19号黄蜂位置位于琉球东部地区它外围环流转向底半部西风气流影响与此同时北方新一股冷空气再次打压有可能出现一些弱分散性短暂降天气之后继续均为晴朗干燥主角.在这同事顺便介
绍一下19号黄蜂路径:WTJP81 RJTD 031200
EGC:2:1:31:11:01:00
SECURITE
THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE NORTH OF EQUATOR OF
METAREA XI(POR).
WARNING 031200.
WARNING VALID 041200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1419 VONGFONG (1419) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1002 HPA
AT 08.9N 157.6E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 09.7N 156.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 10.8N 154.1E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 12.7N 149.5E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 14.9N 144.5E WITH 210 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
最后值得说明是由于副高依然在台风和海平面温度的推动下南以撤退,因此展望整个10月分厦门将继续出现气温和常年略高基本没有有效降水出现特征!
国庆过后冷高压全面撤走,气温开始回升至21~31度水平上下.不过本月依然没有降水出现只是在10夜里由于低层湿度略有增加高空聚集着较弱水汽同时19号黄蜂位置位于琉球东部地区它外围环流转向底半部西风气流影响与此同时北方新一股冷空气再次打压有可能出现一些弱分散性短暂降天气之后继续均为晴朗干燥主角.在这同事顺便介
绍一下19号黄蜂路径:WTJP81 RJTD 031200
EGC:2:1:31:11:01:00
SECURITE
THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE NORTH OF EQUATOR OF
METAREA XI(POR).
WARNING 031200.
WARNING VALID 041200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1419 VONGFONG (1419) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1002 HPA
AT 08.9N 157.6E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 09.7N 156.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 10.8N 154.1E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 12.7N 149.5E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 14.9N 144.5E WITH 210 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
最后值得说明是由于副高依然在台风和海平面温度的推动下南以撤退,因此展望整个10月分厦门将继续出现气温和常年略高基本没有有效降水出现特征!