JTWC：LOW
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 20.5N 148.4E,
APPROXIMATELY 474 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS LIMITED, ALBEIT PERSISTENT, DEEP
CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE WEST OF A FULLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 310455Z SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS
THE LLCC MAY BE SLIGHTLY ELONGATED AND SURROUNDED BY DRIER AIR TO
THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTH OF THE DISTURBANCE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY LOW TO MODERATE (10-20
KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. NUMERICAL
MODELS ONLY INDICATE DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.