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【讨论扰动】93W-13.08.26编

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【讨论扰动】93W-13.08.26编


来自iPad1楼2013-08-28 07:11回复
    JTWC:REMAINS LOW
    (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.3N
    137.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 137.5E, APPROXIMATELY 564 NM
    NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
    IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, ALBEIT DEFINED, FULLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL
    CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION IN THE
    WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. A 280415Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS A
    DEFINED LLCC WITH DRY AIR BEGINNING TO BE ENTRAINED FROM THE NORTH
    AND SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION. RECENT SCATTEROMETERY DATA INDICATES A
    WEAK CIRCULATION WITH ONLY 10 TO 15 KNOT MAX WINDS ALONG THE WESTERN
    AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE
    TO STRONG (20-30 KNOTS) VWS WITHIN THE EASTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM
    SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
    LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. DUE TO THE LACK OF
    DEEP CONVECTION AND APPROACHING DRY AIR, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
    DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
    HOURS REMAINS LOW.


    来自iPad2楼2013-08-28 15:40
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